Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos preview
In the fixture between Karmiotissa and Olympiakos, the 1X2 probabilities show Karmiotissa at 27%, a draw at 27%, and Olympiakos at 46%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance according to our model.
Karmiotissa has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-D-D-D-L, while Olympiakos has a form of D-L-D-D-D-D. This context could affect the match outcome, as Karmiotissa's expected goals stand at 1.20 compared to Olympiakos's 1.62. Both teams to score has a 57% probability, and Over 2.5 goals is at 54%.
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos: model vs market
| Source | Karmiotissa | Draw | Olympiakos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 19% | 24% | 57% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 1.04.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Karmiotissa and Olympiakos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.97
- Attack rating (Karmiotissa / Olympiakos)
- 0.64 / 1.07
- Defence rating (Karmiotissa / Olympiakos)
- 1.47 / 1.11
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Karmiotissa goals. Columns: Olympiakos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 56%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Karmiotissa vs Olympiakos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karmiotissa | 19% | 5.22 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.16 | |
| Olympiakos | 57% | 1.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56% | 1.77 |
| No | 44% | 2.29 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Karmiotissa or draw) | 43% | 2.31 |
| 12 (either side) | 76% | 1.32 | |
| X2 (draw or Olympiakos) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympiakos win by 2+ | 34% | 2.94 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Karmiotissa and Olympiakos recent form
Karmiotissa
0W 3D 3L
Olympiakos
0W 5D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Karmiotissa at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 3.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Olympiakos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-0
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 62% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Karmiotissa at home only, Olympiakos away only.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca 2026-10-31
- Apollon Limassol v Pafos — match page 2026-10-31
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEL — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Aris vs Anorthosis 2026-11-01
- Omonia 29is Maiou v Nea Salamis — match page 2026-11-01
- Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Karmiotissa, previous: Karmiotissa vs Apollon Limassol prediction
- Olympiakos, previous: Olympiakos – Krasava Ypsonas, 2026-10-24