Aris vs Anorthosis preview
In the fixture between Aris and Anorthosis, the 1X2 probabilities show Aris at 41%, Anorthosis at 31%, and a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance according to our model. Aris has an expected goals figure of 1.46, while Anorthosis sits at 1.24.
Both teams to score stands at 56%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 51%. Recent form reveals Aris with a record of D-W-D-W-L-D, while Anorthosis has W-L-L-L-W-L. The head-to-head record shows Aris with 0 wins, 1 draw, and Anorthosis with 1 win in their last 2 meetings. A low confidence grade of C indicates potential unpredictability in the outcome.
Aris vs Anorthosis: model vs market
| Source | Aris | Draw | Anorthosis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47% | 27% | 27% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 47% | 27% | 27% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Aris and Anorthosis expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.85
- Attack rating (Aris / Anorthosis)
- 1.05 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Aris / Anorthosis)
- 1.08 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Aris vs Anorthosis score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Aris goals. Columns: Anorthosis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Aris vs Anorthosis goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Aris vs Anorthosis
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aris | 47% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Anorthosis | 27% | 3.76 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.74 |
| No | 42% | 2.35 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Aris or draw) | 73% | 1.36 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Anorthosis) | 53% | 1.88 | |
| Handicap -1 | Aris win by 2+ | 25% | 3.96 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Aris and Anorthosis recent form
Aris
3W 2D 1L
Anorthosis
2W 0D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Aris at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Anorthosis away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Aris at home only, Anorthosis away only.
Aris vs Anorthosis head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Aris 0 · draws 1 · Anorthosis 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-09 | Aris | 0-1 | Anorthosis | Cyprus 1. Division |
| 2025-10-26 | Anorthosis | 1-1 | Aris | Cyprus 1. Division |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Karmiotissa v Olympiakos — match page 2026-10-30
- Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca 2026-10-31
- Apollon Limassol v Pafos — match page 2026-10-31
- Omonia Nicosia vs AEL — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Omonia 29is Maiou v Nea Salamis — match page 2026-11-01
- Omonia Aradippou vs Apoel Nicosia — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Aris, previous: AEL v Aris analysis
- Anorthosis, previous: Anorthosis – Omonia Aradippou, 2026-10-24