AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas preview
AEL faces Krasava Ypsonas with a 56% probability of winning and an expected scoreline of 2-1. AEL's recent form shows 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Krasava Ypsonas has only 1 win in their last 6. The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 61%.
However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions. AEL's performance can vary, as seen in their last match, where they lost. Krasava Ypsonas has shown resilience with a draw against AEL in their recent head-to-head, which could influence the outcome.
AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas: model vs market
| Source | AEL | Draw | Krasava Ypsonas |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Market | 62% | 23% | 15% |
| Published | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Edge | -3% | +1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.52, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas odds movement
Median bookmaker price on AEL, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEL | 1.59 | 1.50 | -0.09 |
| Draw | 3.88 | 4.10 | +0.22 |
| Krasava Ypsonas | 5.20 | 6.00 | +0.80 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AEL and Krasava Ypsonas expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.07
- Attack rating (AEL / Krasava Ypsonas)
- 1.00 / 0.92
- Defence rating (AEL / Krasava Ypsonas)
- 1.09 / 1.27
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AEL goals. Columns: Krasava Ypsonas goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEL | 59% | 1.69 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.31 | |
| Krasava Ypsonas | 18% | 5.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.69 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.65 |
| No | 40% | 2.53 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AEL or draw) | 82% | 1.21 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Krasava Ypsonas) | 41% | 2.45 | |
| Handicap -1 | AEL win by 2+ | 30% | 3.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AEL and Krasava Ypsonas recent form
AEL
4W 0D 2L
Krasava Ypsonas
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AEL at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Krasava Ypsonas away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
League matches this season before kick-off: AEL at home only, Krasava Ypsonas away only.
AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: AEL 1 · draws 1 · Krasava Ypsonas 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Krasava Ypsonas | 1-1 | AEL | Cyprus 1. Division |
| 2026-02-09 | Krasava Ypsonas | 3-0 | AEL | Cyprus 1. Division |
| 2025-10-26 | AEL | 1-0 | Krasava Ypsonas | Cyprus 1. Division |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- AEK Larnaca vs Karmiotissa — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Nea Salamis vs Omonia Aradippou 2026-11-06
- Olympiakos vs Apollon Limassol — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Anorthosis v Omonia Nicosia — match page 2026-11-08
- Apoel Nicosia vs Aris 2026-11-08
- Pafos v Omonia 29is Maiou — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- AEL, previous: Omonia Nicosia vs AEL: odds and pick
- Krasava Ypsonas, previous: Krasava Ypsonas vs AEK Larnaca: odds and pick