Updated

Czech Liga · Matchday 12

Teplice vs Artis

· AGC Arena Na Stinadlech, Teplice

Alin prediction Teplice to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
TepliceDrawArtis
Best market odds
Teplice1.76 Draw3.78 Artis4.37

Price as of

Teplice vs Artis preview

In the match between Teplice and Artis, the 1X2 probabilities show Teplice at 59%, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. Teplice has an expected goals figure of 2.17, while Artis sits at 1.17. This suggests Teplice is likely to dominate the attack.

However, the confidence grade is C, indicating some uncertainty. Both teams to score stands at 62%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 65%. If Artis improves their recent form, which includes two losses in their last three matches, they could challenge Teplice's expected dominance.

Teplice vs Artis: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceTepliceDrawArtis
Model59%22%19%
Market54%25%22%
Published55%24%21%
Edge+6%-3%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Teplice below the model: +5.5 percentage points of edge.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.76, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.

Teplice vs Artis odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Teplice, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.

Opened 1.73Now 1.73 +0.00
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Teplice1.731.73+0.00
Draw3.773.76-0.01
Artis4.304.30+0.00

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Teplice and Artis expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.17Teplice
1.17Artis
Total expected goals
3.34
Attack rating (Teplice / Artis)
1.13 / 0.97
Defence rating (Teplice / Artis)
0.98 / 1.35

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Teplice vs Artis score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 3.3% 2.4% 1.0% 0.4% 1 6.8% 9.9% 5.3% 2.1% 0.8% 2 8.3% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8% 3 6.0% 7.1% 4.1% 1.6% 0.6% 4+ 5.4% 6.3% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5%

Rows: Teplice goals. Columns: Artis goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Teplice vs Artis goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Teplice vs Artis

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Teplice55%1.82
Draw24%4.16
Artis21%4.77
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.54
Under 2.535%2.85
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.61
No38%2.63
Double chance1X (Teplice or draw)79%1.27
12 (either side)76%1.32
X2 (draw or Artis)45%2.22
Handicap -1Teplice win by 2+37%2.67
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Teplice and Artis recent form

Teplice 3W 1D 2L
Artis 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Teplice at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.83
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Artis away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.40
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 2 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game on the road against 0.6 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Teplice at home only, Artis away only.

Other Matchday 12 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Teplice to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Teplice