Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav preview
In the Czech Liga fixture between Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav, the 1X2 probabilities show Slavia Praha at 52%, while Mlada Boleslav stands at 21%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 12% probability. Slavia Praha has an expected goals figure of 1.59 compared to Mlada Boleslav's 0.92, indicating a stronger attacking performance.
However, the recent form shows Slavia Praha with a mixed record of D-L-W-W-W-L, while Mlada Boleslav has won 4 of their last 6 matches. Both teams to score is at 49%, suggesting a close contest, and the 46% chance of Over 2.5 goals indicates that while goals are possible, they may not be plentiful.
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav: model vs market
| Source | Slavia Praha | Draw | Mlada Boleslav |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 28% | 21% |
| Market | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| Published | 69% | 18% | 13% |
| Edge | -23% | +13% | +11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.92.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.25, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Slavia Praha, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slavia Praha | 1.24 | 1.24 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 6.19 | 6.20 | +0.01 |
| Mlada Boleslav | 9.20 | 9.20 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.51
- Attack rating (Slavia Praha / Mlada Boleslav)
- 1.24 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Slavia Praha / Mlada Boleslav)
- 0.74 / 0.90
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Slavia Praha goals. Columns: Mlada Boleslav goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Slavia Praha | 69% | 1.45 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.52 | |
| Mlada Boleslav | 13% | 7.84 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.18 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.03 |
| No | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Slavia Praha or draw) | 87% | 1.15 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Mlada Boleslav) | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Handicap -1 | Slavia Praha win by 2+ | 28% | 3.57 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
| 4 |  |
200% first deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
|
Get offer |
18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Slavia Praha and Mlada Boleslav recent form
Slavia Praha
3W 1D 2L
Mlada Boleslav
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Slavia Praha at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-2-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 6
- They have won 8 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 2.6 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 2.2 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mlada Boleslav away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-3
- Win rate
- 17%
- Goals for / match
- 1.17
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Slavia Praha at home only, Mlada Boleslav away only.
Slavia Praha vs Mlada Boleslav head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Slavia Praha 2 · draws 0 · Mlada Boleslav 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-07 | Slavia Praha | 4-0 | Mlada Boleslav | Czech Liga |
| 2025-08-30 | Mlada Boleslav | 1-3 | Slavia Praha | Czech Liga |
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
- Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc 2026-10-24
- Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Teplice vs Artis 2026-10-24
- Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Hradec Králové v FK Jablonec — match page 2026-10-25
- Sparta Praha v Slovácko — match page 2026-10-25
- Plzen vs Pardubice — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Slavia Praha, previous: Fenerbahçe – Slavia Praha, 2026-10-20
- Slavia Praha, next: Slavia Praha vs Arsenal: odds and pick
- Mlada Boleslav, previous: Mlada Boleslav vs Teplice: odds and pick