Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc preview
In the upcoming fixture between Zlin and Sigma Olomouc, the 1X2 probabilities show Sigma Olomouc at 64%, while Zlin sits at 15%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, with a 10% chance. Sigma Olomouc's expected goals are 2.17, compared to Zlin's 0.96, highlighting a significant attacking advantage.
However, Zlin has won 1 of their last 2 encounters against Sigma Olomouc, which could challenge the predicted outcome. Recent form also shows Zlin struggling with 6 games without a win, while Sigma Olomouc has 3 wins in their last 6 matches. The potential for both teams to score stands at 55%, while the chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 60%, indicating a possibility for a more competitive match than the numbers suggest.
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc: model vs market
| Source | Zlin | Draw | Sigma Olomouc |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13% | 22% | 65% |
| Market | 24% | 26% | 50% |
| Published | 21% | 25% | 54% |
| Edge | -11% | -4% | +15% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.10 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sigma Olomouc below the model: +15.3 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Sigma Olomouc, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zlin | 3.83 | 3.83 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.55 | 3.55 | +0.00 |
| Sigma Olomouc | 1.86 | 1.86 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zlin and Sigma Olomouc expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Zlin / Sigma Olomouc)
- 0.66 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Zlin / Sigma Olomouc)
- 1.39 / 0.91
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zlin goals. Columns: Sigma Olomouc goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 51%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zlin | 21% | 4.66 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.01 | |
| Sigma Olomouc | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51% | 1.94 |
| No | 49% | 2.06 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zlin or draw) | 46% | 2.16 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Sigma Olomouc) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| Handicap -1 | Sigma Olomouc win by 2+ | 42% | 2.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Zlin and Sigma Olomouc recent form
Zlin
0W 1D 5L
Sigma Olomouc
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zlin at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-6
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.67
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 0 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Sigma Olomouc away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zlin at home only, Sigma Olomouc away only.
Zlin vs Sigma Olomouc head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Zlin 1 · draws 0 · Sigma Olomouc 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Zlin | 5-0 | Sigma Olomouc | Czech Liga |
| 2025-08-16 | Sigma Olomouc | 1-0 | Zlin | Czech Liga |
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Before and after this match
- Zlin, previous: Pardubice vs Zlin prediction
- Sigma Olomouc, previous: Sigma Olomouc – Slovan Liberec, 2026-10-17