Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 preview
In the Czech Liga fixture between Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905, the 1X2 probabilities show Zbrojovka Brno at 41%, draw at 31%, and Bohemians 1905 at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%.
Both teams have shown mixed form recently, with Zbrojovka Brno winning 3 of their last 6 matches and Bohemians 1905 winning 3 of their last 6 as well. While the expected goals are close, at 1.12 for Zbrojovka Brno and 1.11 for Bohemians 1905, factors like a sudden shift in form or defensive errors could lead to a different outcome, impacting predictions like Over 2.5 goals at 38% and both teams to score at 46%.
Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905: model vs market
| Source | Zbrojovka Brno | Draw | Bohemians 1905 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 43% | 31% | 27% |
| Published | 41% | 31% | 29% |
| Edge | -8% | +1% | +7% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.24, recorded — the top price across the 4 books we record, each at its own last update.
Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Zbrojovka Brno, 3 snapshots since 2026-10-18.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zbrojovka Brno | 2.17 | 2.17 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.04 | 3.04 | +0.00 |
| Bohemians 1905 | 3.49 | 3.49 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Zbrojovka Brno / Bohemians 1905)
- 0.97 / 0.94
- Defence rating (Zbrojovka Brno / Bohemians 1905)
- 0.96 / 0.81
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Zbrojovka Brno goals. Columns: Bohemians 1905 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905 goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Zbrojovka Brno vs Bohemians 1905
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zbrojovka Brno | 41% | 2.46 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.24 | |
| Bohemians 1905 | 29% | 3.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38% | 2.60 |
| Under 2.5 | 62% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.15 |
| No | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Zbrojovka Brno or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.45 | |
| X2 (draw or Bohemians 1905) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zbrojovka Brno win by 2+ | 14% | 6.91 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Zbrojovka Brno and Bohemians 1905 recent form
Zbrojovka Brno
3W 0D 3L
Bohemians 1905
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Zbrojovka Brno at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-2
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Bohemians 1905 away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-3
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 53% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Zbrojovka Brno at home only, Bohemians 1905 away only.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
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- Slovan Liberec vs Baník Ostrava — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Teplice vs Artis 2026-10-24
- Slavia Praha v Mlada Boleslav — match page 2026-10-24
- Hradec Králové v FK Jablonec — match page 2026-10-25
- Sparta Praha v Slovácko — match page 2026-10-25
- Plzen vs Pardubice — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Zbrojovka Brno, previous: Slovácko vs Zbrojovka Brno: odds and pick
- Bohemians 1905, previous: Artis – Bohemians 1905, 2026-10-17