Karviná vs Slavia Praha II preview
In the match between Karviná and Slavia Praha II, the 1X2 probabilities show a strong favor for Karviná at 69%, while Slavia Praha II sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance, indicating a competitive match. Karviná's expected goals stand at 2.79, compared to Slavia Praha II's 1.23, suggesting a clear attacking advantage.
Karviná's recent form includes four wins and one loss, while Slavia Praha II has struggled with four losses and two draws. This could impact the match outcome, as Slavia Praha II may improve their performance. The model also predicts a high likelihood of Over 2.5 goals at 77% and both teams to score at 67%.
Karviná vs Slavia Praha II: model vs market
| Source | Karviná | Draw | Slavia Praha II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 60% | 19% | 21% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.56 vs 1.50.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Karviná and Slavia Praha II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 4.06
- Attack rating (Karviná / Slavia Praha II)
- 1.42 / 1.36
- Defence rating (Karviná / Slavia Praha II)
- 0.89 / 1.16
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Karviná vs Slavia Praha II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Karviná goals. Columns: Slavia Praha II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Karviná vs Slavia Praha II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 72%
- No goals (0–0)
- 2%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Karviná vs Slavia Praha II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karviná | 60% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.13 | |
| Slavia Praha II | 21% | 4.86 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77% | 1.30 |
| Under 2.5 | 23% | 4.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72% | 1.38 |
| No | 28% | 3.62 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Karviná or draw) | 79% | 1.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Slavia Praha II) | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Handicap -1 | Karviná win by 2+ | 40% | 2.49 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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Karviná and Slavia Praha II recent form
Karviná
5W 0D 1L
Slavia Praha II
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Karviná at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 8 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Slavia Praha II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Karviná at home only, Slavia Praha II away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem 2026-10-30
- Příbram v Táborsko — match page 2026-10-31
- Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha 2026-11-01
- Kladno v Hanácká — match page 2026-11-01
- Prostějov vs Opava — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Karviná, previous: Ústí nad Labem – Karviná, 2026-10-23
- Slavia Praha II, previous: Slavia Praha II vs Prostějov prediction