Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná preview
In the upcoming match between Vysočina Jihlava and Karviná, the 1X2 probabilities show Vysočina Jihlava at 41%, draw at 25%, and Karviná at 34%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both projected at 66%, indicating a strong possibility of an active match.
Vysočina Jihlava's recent form is impressive with 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 matches, while Karviná has 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the same span. However, past head-to-head results show Vysočina Jihlava has not won against Karviná in their last 2 encounters, which could influence the outcome.
Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná: model vs market
| Source | Vysočina Jihlava | Draw | Karviná |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52% | 23% | 25% |
| Market | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Published | 41% | 25% | 34% |
| Edge | +4% | -1% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
- The market prices Vysočina Jihlava below our published probability: +3.7 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +3.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Vysočina Jihlava, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vysočina Jihlava | 2.62 | 2.43 | -0.19 |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.46 | +0.04 |
| Karviná | 2.40 | 2.43 | +0.03 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Vysočina Jihlava and Karviná expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.41
- Attack rating (Vysočina Jihlava / Karviná)
- 1.38 / 1.40
- Defence rating (Vysočina Jihlava / Karviná)
- 0.79 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vysočina Jihlava goals. Columns: Karviná goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vysočina Jihlava | 41% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Karviná | 34% | 2.94 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66% | 1.51 |
| Under 2.5 | 34% | 2.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.93 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vysočina Jihlava or draw) | 66% | 1.51 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Karviná) | 59% | 1.69 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vysočina Jihlava win by 2+ | 31% | 3.21 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Vysočina Jihlava and Karviná recent form
Vysočina Jihlava
5W 1D 0L
Karviná
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vysočina Jihlava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-2
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 1.57
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 7
- They have won 8 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game on the road against 1.6 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Karviná away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-3
- Win rate
- 57%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 9 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vysočina Jihlava at home only, Karviná away only.
Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Vysočina Jihlava 0 · draws 1 · Karviná 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-03-12 | Vysočina Jihlava | 2-2 | Karviná | FNL |
| 2022-08-20 | Karviná | 2-1 | Vysočina Jihlava | FNL |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Dukla Praha vs Příbram 2026-11-06
- Opava v Vlašim — match page 2026-11-06
- Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Česká Lípa v Táborsko — match page 2026-11-07
- Hanácká vs Třinec — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slavia Praha II vs Kladno 2026-11-08
- Baník Ostrava II v Prostějov — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Vysočina Jihlava, previous: Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava prediction
- Karviná, previous: Karviná – Slavia Praha II, 2026-10-30