Opava vs Vlašim preview
In the upcoming match between Opava and Vlašim, the 1X2 probabilities show Opava at 41%, Vlašim at 32%, and a draw at 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Opava, with a probability of 7%. However, the expected goals indicate Vlašim has a slight edge with 1.56 compared to Opava's 1.26, which could lead to a different outcome.
Both teams to score has a probability of 58%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 53%. Opava's recent form includes 2 draws and 2 wins in their last 5 matches, while Vlašim has 4 wins and 2 losses in the same period. This recent performance could impact the match dynamics and final result.
Opava vs Vlašim: model vs market
| Source | Opava | Draw | Vlašim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30% | 27% | 43% |
| Market | 46% | 27% | 27% |
| Published | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Edge | -4% | 0% | +4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.04, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.0% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Opava vs Vlašim odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Opava, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Opava | 2.17 | 1.95 | -0.22 |
| Draw | 3.45 | 3.32 | -0.13 |
| Vlašim | 3.00 | 3.40 | +0.40 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Opava and Vlašim expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.82
- Attack rating (Opava / Vlašim)
- 0.93 / 1.18
- Defence rating (Opava / Vlašim)
- 1.06 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Opava vs Vlašim score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Opava goals. Columns: Vlašim goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Opava vs Vlašim goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Opava vs Vlašim
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Opava | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Vlašim | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53% | 1.87 |
| Under 2.5 | 47% | 2.15 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.73 |
| No | 42% | 2.37 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Opava or draw) | 69% | 1.44 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Vlašim) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Opava win by 2+ | 13% | 7.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Opava and Vlašim recent form
Opava
2W 3D 1L
Vlašim
4W 0D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Opava at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-3-2
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 1.43
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Vlašim away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-4
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 6 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Opava at home only, Vlašim away only.
Opava vs Vlašim head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Opava 2 · draws 4 · Vlašim 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | Vlašim | 2-0 | Opava | FNL |
| 2025-08-23 | Opava | 3-1 | Vlašim | FNL |
| 2025-05-25 | Vlašim | 2-0 | Opava | FNL |
| 2024-07-19 | Opava | 3-3 | Vlašim | FNL |
| 2024-04-21 | Opava | 2-2 | Vlašim | FNL |
| 2023-09-23 | Vlašim | 1-1 | Opava | FNL |
| 2023-03-18 | Opava | 0-1 | Vlašim | FNL |
| 2022-08-27 | Vlašim | 0-1 | Opava | FNL |
| 2022-05-14 | Vlašim | 3-1 | Opava | FNL |
| 2021-07-24 | Opava | 3-3 | Vlašim | FNL |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Dukla Praha vs Příbram 2026-11-06
- Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Česká Lípa v Táborsko — match page 2026-11-07
- Hanácká vs Třinec — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slavia Praha II vs Kladno 2026-11-08
- Baník Ostrava II v Prostějov — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Opava, previous: Prostějov v Opava analysis
- Vlašim, previous: Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem: odds and pick