Hanácká vs Třinec preview
In the upcoming match between Hanácká and Třinec, the 1X2 probabilities show Hanácká at 50% to win, while Třinec is at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs with a 9% probability. Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both projected at 64%, indicating a strong chance for an open game.
However, recent form could complicate this prediction. Hanácká has a mixed record with 2 wins and 3 losses in their last 5 matches, while Třinec has 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw. The expected goals suggest Hanácká is more likely to score, but Třinec's recent win could boost their confidence.
Hanácká vs Třinec: model vs market
| Source | Hanácká | Draw | Třinec |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 47% | 26% | 28% |
| Published | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Edge | +1% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.34.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Hanácká and Třinec expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.28
- Attack rating (Hanácká / Třinec)
- 0.97 / 0.90
- Defence rating (Hanácká / Třinec)
- 1.20 / 1.29
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Hanácká vs Třinec score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Hanácká goals. Columns: Třinec goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Hanácká vs Třinec goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 64%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Hanácká vs Třinec
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hanácká | 48% | 2.10 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 | |
| Třinec | 27% | 3.67 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.57 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.76 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64% | 1.56 |
| No | 36% | 2.80 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Hanácká or draw) | 73% | 1.38 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Třinec) | 52% | 1.91 | |
| Handicap -1 | Hanácká win by 2+ | 30% | 3.39 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Hanácká and Třinec recent form
Hanácká
2W 1D 3L
Třinec
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Hanácká at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.86
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 13 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Třinec away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-3
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.43
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 2 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Hanácká at home only, Třinec away only.
Hanácká vs Třinec head-to-head
Last 3 meetings: Hanácká 1 · draws 1 · Třinec 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-31 | Hanácká | 1-0 | Třinec | 3. liga - MSFL |
| 2024-10-26 | Třinec | 1-1 | Hanácká | 3. liga - MSFL |
| 2021-07-09 | Hanácká | 0-1 | Třinec | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Dukla Praha vs Příbram 2026-11-06
- Opava v Vlašim — match page 2026-11-06
- Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Česká Lípa v Táborsko — match page 2026-11-07
- Slavia Praha II vs Kladno 2026-11-08
- Baník Ostrava II v Prostějov — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Hanácká, previous: Kladno vs Hanácká: odds and pick
- Třinec, previous: Třinec – Arsenal Česká Lípa, 2026-10-31