Updated

FNL · Matchday 14

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko

· Mestsky Stadion Ceska Lipa, Ceska Lipa· Referee T. Mankovecky

Alin prediction Arsenal Česká Lípa to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Arsenal Česká LípaDrawTáborsko
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.17.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Arsenal Česká Lípa2.90 Draw3.60 Táborsko2.47

Price as of

Expected return at 2.90: +13.8% per unit staked

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko preview

Arsenal Česká Lípa faces Táborsko with a 48% chance to win, compared to Táborsko's 27%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% probability. Arsenal Česká Lípa has an expected goals figure of 1.81, while Táborsko sits at 1.33.

Both teams to score stands at 62%, and there is a 61% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals. Recent form shows Arsenal Česká Lípa with two draws and four losses in their last six matches, while Táborsko has three draws and three losses. The confidence grade is C, indicating uncertainty in the outcome. A low scoring match or a draw could challenge the predictions.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceArsenal Česká LípaDrawTáborsko
Model59%22%19%
Market33%27%40%
Published39%26%35%
Edge+7%-1%-5%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.17.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Arsenal Česká Lípa below our published probability: +6.5 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.90, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +13.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Arsenal Česká Lípa, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 2.48Now 2.77 +0.29
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Arsenal Česká Lípa2.482.77+0.29
Draw3.303.37+0.07
Táborsko2.622.25-0.38

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Arsenal Česká Lípa and Táborsko expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.15Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.17Táborsko
Total expected goals
3.31
Attack rating (Arsenal Česká Lípa / Táborsko)
1.12 / 0.82
Defence rating (Arsenal Česká Lípa / Táborsko)
1.15 / 1.23

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.6% 3.3% 2.5% 1.0% 0.4% 1 6.9% 10.0% 5.3% 2.1% 0.8% 2 8.4% 9.8% 5.7% 2.2% 0.8% 3 6.0% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.6% 4+ 5.3% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%

Rows: Arsenal Česká Lípa goals. Columns: Táborsko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 85%
Over 2.5 64%
Over 3.5 42%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Arsenal Česká Lípa vs Táborsko

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Arsenal Česká Lípa39%2.55
Draw26%3.88
Táborsko35%2.86
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564%1.56
Under 2.536%2.80
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.62
No38%2.61
Double chance1X (Arsenal Česká Lípa or draw)65%1.54
12 (either side)74%1.35
X2 (draw or Táborsko)61%1.65
Handicap -1Arsenal Česká Lípa win by 2+37%2.70
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Arsenal Česká Lípa and Táborsko recent form

Arsenal Česká Lípa 2W 2D 2L
Táborsko 0W 3D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Arsenal Česká Lípa at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-3-2
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.83
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 13 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).

Táborsko away

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-2
Win rate
29%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.57
Clean sheets
2 of 7
  • They have won 3 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Arsenal Česká Lípa at home only, Táborsko away only.

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Arsenal Česká Lípa to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Arsenal Česká Lípa