Updated

FNL · Matchday 13

Příbram vs Táborsko

· UMT Pribram

Alin prediction Příbram to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
PříbramDrawTáborsko
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.28.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Příbram vs Táborsko preview

In the upcoming match between Příbram and Táborsko, the 1X2 probabilities show Příbram at 55%, while Táborsko sits at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance of occurring. Příbram has an expected goals figure of 2.09, compared to Táborsko's 1.28, suggesting a stronger attacking performance from the home side.

However, Táborsko has won both of the last two encounters, which could influence the outcome. Additionally, both teams to score has a probability of 64%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 65%. These figures indicate potential for a high-scoring match, but recent form shows Příbram with mixed results, while Táborsko has struggled to secure wins.

Příbram vs Táborsko: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourcePříbramDrawTáborsko
Model55%23%22%
Market———
Published55%23%22%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Příbram and Táborsko expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.09Příbram
1.28Táborsko
Total expected goals
3.37
Attack rating (Příbram / Táborsko)
1.17 / 0.90
Defence rating (Příbram / Táborsko)
1.15 / 1.15

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Příbram vs Táborsko score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 4.4% 3.5% 2.8% 1.2% 0.5% 1 6.3% 10.1% 5.9% 2.5% 1.1% 2 7.5% 9.6% 6.1% 2.6% 1.1% 3 5.3% 6.7% 4.3% 1.8% 0.8% 4+ 4.5% 5.7% 3.6% 1.5% 0.7%

Rows: Příbram goals. Columns: Táborsko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Příbram vs Táborsko goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 96%
Over 1.5 86%
Over 2.5 65%
Over 3.5 43%
Both teams to score
64%
No goals (0–0)
4%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Příbram vs Táborsko

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Příbram55%1.81
Draw23%4.39
Táborsko22%4.55
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.565%1.53
Under 2.535%2.89
Both teams to scoreYes64%1.56
No36%2.79
Double chance1X (Příbram or draw)78%1.28
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Táborsko)45%2.23
Handicap -1Příbram win by 2+34%2.95
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Příbram and Táborsko recent form

Příbram 1W 3D 2L
Táborsko 0W 4D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Příbram at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-2
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.60
Goals against / match
1.80
Clean sheets
1 of 5
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Táborsko away

Record (W-D-L)
2-3-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.17
Goals against / match
1.33
Clean sheets
2 of 6
  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Příbram at home only, Táborsko away only.

Příbram vs Táborsko head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Příbram 0 · draws 0 · Táborsko 2.

PříbramDrawsTáborsko
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-25Táborsko2-1PříbramFNL
2025-09-29Příbram0-3TáborskoFNL

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Příbram to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Příbram