Updated

FNL · Matchday 13

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava

· Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava

Alin prediction Vysočina Jihlava to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

9% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Baník Ostrava IIDrawVysočina Jihlava
  • WhyBetter recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava preview

In the match between Baník Ostrava II and Vysočina Jihlava, the 1X2 probabilities show Vysočina Jihlava at 42%, while Baník Ostrava II is at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 9% chance. Both teams to score has a 59% probability, suggesting a competitive game.

Baník Ostrava II's recent form includes 2 wins and 3 draws, while Vysočina Jihlava has won 6 straight matches. This strong form could lead to a different outcome than expected, particularly if Baník Ostrava II can improve their scoring, as their expected goals are 1.33 compared to Vysočina Jihlava's 1.56.

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBaník Ostrava IIDrawVysočina Jihlava
Model31%27%42%
Market———
Published31%27%42%
Edge———
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Baník Ostrava II and Vysočina Jihlava expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.33Baník Ostrava II
1.56Vysočina Jihlava
Total expected goals
2.89
Attack rating (Baník Ostrava II / Vysočina Jihlava)
1.10 / 1.30
Defence rating (Baník Ostrava II / Vysočina Jihlava)
0.97 / 0.77

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 6.7% 7.5% 6.8% 3.5% 2.0% 1 6.2% 12.7% 9.0% 4.7% 2.6% 2 4.9% 7.7% 6.0% 3.1% 1.7% 3 2.2% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.8% 4+ 1.0% 1.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.3%

Rows: Baník Ostrava II goals. Columns: Vysočina Jihlava goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 93%
Over 1.5 80%
Over 2.5 55%
Over 3.5 33%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
7%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Baník Ostrava II31%3.19
Draw27%3.71
Vysočina Jihlava42%2.40
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555%1.81
Under 2.545%2.23
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.69
No41%2.46
Double chance1X (Baník Ostrava II or draw)58%1.72
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Vysočina Jihlava)69%1.46
Handicap -1Vysočina Jihlava win by 2+21%4.65
Push (exactly one goal)20%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Baník Ostrava II and Vysočina Jihlava recent form

Baník Ostrava II 2W 2D 2L
Vysočina Jihlava 5W 1D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Baník Ostrava II at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-3
Win rate
17%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.50
Clean sheets
0 of 6
  • They have won 4 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.6 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
  • 59% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Vysočina Jihlava away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-1
Win rate
60%
Goals for / match
2.00
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 6 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Baník Ostrava II at home only, Vysočina Jihlava away only.

Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Baník Ostrava II 1 · draws 1 · Vysočina Jihlava 0.

Baník Ostrava IIDrawsVysočina Jihlava
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-26Baník Ostrava II2-1Vysočina JihlavaFNL
2025-09-26Vysočina Jihlava2-2Baník Ostrava IIFNL

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Vysočina Jihlava to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Vysočina Jihlava