Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa preview
In the match between Třinec and Arsenal Česká Lípa, the 1X2 probabilities show Třinec at 42%, Arsenal Česká Lípa at 33%, and a draw at 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 9% chance. The model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams to score at 65%.
Třinec's expected goals stand at 1.71, while Arsenal Česká Lípa has 1.50. Recent form indicates Třinec has a mixed record with D-W-L-L-W-L, while Arsenal Česká Lípa has struggled, recording D-W-L-L-D-L. These factors could influence the outcome, particularly if either team improves their consistency.
Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa: model vs market
| Source | Třinec | Draw | Arsenal Česká Lípa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 42% | 25% | 33% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Třinec and Arsenal Česká Lípa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.21
- Attack rating (Třinec / Arsenal Česká Lípa)
- 0.92 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Třinec / Arsenal Česká Lípa)
- 1.20 / 1.20
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Třinec goals. Columns: Arsenal Česká Lípa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 65%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Třinec | 42% | 2.38 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Arsenal Česká Lípa | 33% | 3.06 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62% | 1.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 65% | 1.55 |
| No | 35% | 2.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Třinec or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Arsenal Česká Lípa) | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Handicap -1 | Třinec win by 2+ | 23% | 4.44 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Třinec and Arsenal Česká Lípa recent form
Třinec
2W 1D 3L
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Třinec at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.40
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 11 matches.
Arsenal Česká Lípa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-3
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.83
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 11 matches.
- They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Třinec at home only, Arsenal Česká Lípa away only.
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem 2026-10-30
- Karviná v Slavia Praha II — match page 2026-10-30
- Příbram v Táborsko — match page 2026-10-31
- Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha 2026-11-01
- Kladno v Hanácká — match page 2026-11-01
- Prostějov vs Opava — team news & stats 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Třinec, previous: Táborsko vs Třinec: odds and pick
- Arsenal Česká Lípa, previous: Arsenal Česká Lípa v Příbram analysis