Updated

FNL · Matchday 13

Kladno vs Hanácká

· Stadion Frantiska Kloze, Kladno

Alin prediction Kladno to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KladnoDrawHanácká
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.11.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Kladno vs Hanácká preview

Kladno faces Hanácká with a 58% probability of winning, while Hanácká has just a 19% chance. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with Kladno's expected goals of 2.03 compared to Hanácká's 1.11.

The model also suggests a 61% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 59% probability for both teams to score. However, Kladno's recent form shows inconsistency with two draws and a loss in their last six matches, which could impact their performance. Hanácká, on the other hand, has struggled recently, winning just one of their last six games.

Kladno vs Hanácká: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKladnoDrawHanácká
Model58%23%19%
Market———
Published58%23%19%
Edge———
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.11.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Kladno and Hanácká expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

2.03Kladno
1.11Hanácká
Total expected goals
3.13
Attack rating (Kladno / Hanácká)
1.04 / 0.83
Defence rating (Kladno / Hanácká)
1.08 / 1.25

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Kladno vs Hanácká score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.3% 3.8% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 1 7.9% 10.8% 5.4% 2.0% 0.7% 2 9.0% 9.9% 5.5% 2.0% 0.7% 3 6.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.5% 4+ 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.4%

Rows: Kladno goals. Columns: Hanácká goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Kladno vs Hanácká goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 83%
Over 2.5 61%
Over 3.5 38%
Both teams to score
59%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Kladno vs Hanácká

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Kladno58%1.73
Draw23%4.32
Hanácká19%5.21
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561%1.65
Under 2.539%2.54
Both teams to scoreYes59%1.69
No41%2.44
Double chance1X (Kladno or draw)81%1.24
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Hanácká)42%2.36
Handicap -1Kladno win by 2+35%2.82
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Kladno and Hanácká recent form

Kladno 1W 3D 2L
Hanácká 1W 2D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Kladno at home

Record (W-D-L)
2-2-1
Win rate
40%
Goals for / match
1.80
Goals against / match
1.20
Clean sheets
2 of 5
  • They have won 3 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 11 matches.

Hanácká away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-4
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.80
Goals against / match
2.20
Clean sheets
0 of 5
  • They have won 1 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 11 matches.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Kladno at home only, Hanácká away only.

Other Matchday 13 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Kladno to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Kladno