Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov preview
In the match between Baník Ostrava II and Prostějov, the 1X2 probabilities show Baník Ostrava II at 57%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. The expected goals for Baník Ostrava II is 1.95, compared to Prostějov's 1.07, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the home side.
However, recent form could impact the outcome. Baník Ostrava II has a mixed record with D-W-L-L-W-D, while Prostějov is struggling with D-L-D-D-D-D. Both teams to score stands at 57%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 58%, suggesting a potential for an open game, but the recent struggles of Prostějov may limit their scoring opportunities.
Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov: model vs market
| Source | Baník Ostrava II | Draw | Prostějov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53% | 24% | 23% |
| Market | 55% | 25% | 21% |
| Published | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.19.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Baník Ostrava II, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baník Ostrava II | 1.78 | 1.67 | -0.11 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.68 | +0.03 |
| Prostějov | 4.00 | 4.45 | +0.46 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Baník Ostrava II and Prostějov expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.08
- Attack rating (Baník Ostrava II / Prostějov)
- 1.07 / 0.89
- Defence rating (Baník Ostrava II / Prostějov)
- 1.07 / 1.14
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Baník Ostrava II goals. Columns: Prostějov goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Baník Ostrava II | 54% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.04 | |
| Prostějov | 21% | 4.74 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.68 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.66 |
| No | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Baník Ostrava II or draw) | 79% | 1.27 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Prostějov) | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Handicap -1 | Baník Ostrava II win by 2+ | 31% | 3.25 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Baník Ostrava II and Prostějov recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Baník Ostrava II at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-4
- Win rate
- 14%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.71
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
- 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Prostějov away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-3-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 6
- They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Baník Ostrava II at home only, Prostějov away only.
Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Baník Ostrava II 2 · draws 0 · Prostějov 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-10 | Prostějov | 1-3 | Baník Ostrava II | FNL |
| 2025-08-31 | Baník Ostrava II | 2-0 | Prostějov | FNL |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Dukla Praha vs Příbram 2026-11-06
- Opava v Vlašim — match page 2026-11-06
- Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Česká Lípa v Táborsko — match page 2026-11-07
- Hanácká vs Třinec — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slavia Praha II vs Kladno 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Baník Ostrava II, previous: Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava prediction
- Prostějov, previous: Prostějov v Opava analysis