Updated

FNL · Matchday 14

Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov

· Mestsky stadion v Ostrave-Vitkovicich, Ostrava

Alin prediction Baník Ostrava II to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Baník Ostrava IIDrawProstějov
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.19.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Baník Ostrava II is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Baník Ostrava II1.72 Draw3.80 Prostějov4.56

Price as of

Expected return at 1.72: -6.8% per unit staked

Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov preview

In the match between Baník Ostrava II and Prostějov, the 1X2 probabilities show Baník Ostrava II at 57%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. The expected goals for Baník Ostrava II is 1.95, compared to Prostějov's 1.07, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the home side.

However, recent form could impact the outcome. Baník Ostrava II has a mixed record with D-W-L-L-W-D, while Prostějov is struggling with D-L-D-D-D-D. Both teams to score stands at 57%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 58%, suggesting a potential for an open game, but the recent struggles of Prostějov may limit their scoring opportunities.

Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceBaník Ostrava IIDrawProstějov
Model53%24%23%
Market55%25%21%
Published54%25%21%
Edge-1%0%+1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.89 vs 1.19.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.72, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Baník Ostrava II, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.

Opened 1.78Now 1.67 -0.11
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Baník Ostrava II1.781.67-0.11
Draw3.653.68+0.03
Prostějov4.004.45+0.46

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Baník Ostrava II and Prostějov expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.89Baník Ostrava II
1.19Prostějov
Total expected goals
3.08
Attack rating (Baník Ostrava II / Prostějov)
1.07 / 0.89
Defence rating (Baník Ostrava II / Prostějov)
1.07 / 1.14

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.6% 4.4% 3.3% 1.3% 0.5% 1 7.7% 11.4% 6.2% 2.4% 0.9% 2 8.2% 9.8% 5.8% 2.3% 0.9% 3 5.2% 6.1% 3.7% 1.5% 0.6% 4+ 3.8% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4%

Rows: Baník Ostrava II goals. Columns: Prostějov goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 59%
Over 3.5 37%
Both teams to score
60%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Baník Ostrava II54%1.85
Draw25%4.04
Prostějov21%4.74
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559%1.68
Under 2.541%2.47
Both teams to scoreYes60%1.66
No40%2.51
Double chance1X (Baník Ostrava II or draw)79%1.27
12 (either side)75%1.33
X2 (draw or Prostějov)46%2.18
Handicap -1Baník Ostrava II win by 2+31%3.25
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Baník Ostrava II and Prostějov recent form

Baník Ostrava II 2W 1D 3L
Prostějov 0W 5D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Baník Ostrava II at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-4
Win rate
14%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.71
Clean sheets
0 of 7
  • They have won 4 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 12 matches.
  • 56% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Prostějov away

Record (W-D-L)
0-3-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 6
  • They have won 1 of their 12 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Baník Ostrava II at home only, Prostějov away only.

Baník Ostrava II vs Prostějov head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Baník Ostrava II 2 · draws 0 · Prostějov 0.

Baník Ostrava IIDrawsProstějov
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-10Prostějov1-3Baník Ostrava IIFNL
2025-08-31Baník Ostrava II2-0ProstějovFNL

Other Matchday 14 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Baník Ostrava II to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Baník Ostrava II