Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov preview
In the upcoming match between Ústí nad Labem and Viktoria Žižkov, the 1X2 probabilities show Ústí nad Labem at 51%, while Viktoria Žižkov stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a 10% chance according to our model. The expectation for Over 2.5 goals is at 58%, and both teams to score is at 60%.
Ústí nad Labem's recent form includes 2 wins and 4 losses, while Viktoria Žižkov has 3 wins and 2 losses in their last 5 matches. The head-to-head record is even, with both teams winning 2 matches each and 4 draws in the last 8 encounters. If Ústí nad Labem's form does not improve, it could affect their chances of winning.
Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov: model vs market
| Source | Ústí nad Labem | Draw | Viktoria Žižkov |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49% | 25% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 24% |
| Published | 51% | 25% | 24% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.23.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.83, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.6% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Ústí nad Labem, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ústí nad Labem | 1.88 | 1.75 | -0.13 |
| Draw | 3.65 | 3.67 | +0.02 |
| Viktoria Žižkov | 3.57 | 3.80 | +0.23 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Ústí nad Labem and Viktoria Žižkov expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (Ústí nad Labem / Viktoria Žižkov)
- 1.00 / 0.83
- Defence rating (Ústí nad Labem / Viktoria Žižkov)
- 1.19 / 1.15
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Ústí nad Labem goals. Columns: Viktoria Žižkov goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ústí nad Labem | 51% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 25% | 4.03 | |
| Viktoria Žižkov | 24% | 4.14 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.67 |
| No | 40% | 2.50 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Ústí nad Labem or draw) | 76% | 1.32 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.33 | |
| X2 (draw or Viktoria Žižkov) | 49% | 2.04 | |
| Handicap -1 | Ústí nad Labem win by 2+ | 28% | 3.60 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Ústí nad Labem and Viktoria Žižkov recent form
Ústí nad Labem
1W 1D 4L
Viktoria Žižkov
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Ústí nad Labem at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-2-3
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 1.86
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 1.9 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Viktoria Žižkov away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-5
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 0.71
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 7
- They have won 4 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Ústí nad Labem at home only, Viktoria Žižkov away only.
Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Ústí nad Labem 2 · draws 4 · Viktoria Žižkov 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-24 | Ústí nad Labem | 3-0 | Viktoria Žižkov | FNL |
| 2026-01-30 | Viktoria Žižkov | 2-1 | Ústí nad Labem | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2025-09-28 | Viktoria Žižkov | 1-1 | Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| 2025-02-15 | Ústí nad Labem | 4-0 | Viktoria Žižkov | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-05-13 | Ústí nad Labem | 2-2 | Viktoria Žižkov | 3. liga - CFL B |
| 2022-10-16 | Viktoria Žižkov | 5-0 | Ústí nad Labem | 3. liga - CFL B |
| 2022-03-19 | Ústí nad Labem | 0-0 | Viktoria Žižkov | FNL |
| 2021-08-22 | Viktoria Žižkov | 0-0 | Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Dukla Praha vs Příbram 2026-11-06
- Opava v Vlašim — match page 2026-11-06
- Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Česká Lípa v Táborsko — match page 2026-11-07
- Hanácká vs Třinec — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slavia Praha II vs Kladno 2026-11-08
- Baník Ostrava II v Prostějov — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Ústí nad Labem, previous: Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem: odds and pick
- Viktoria Žižkov, previous: Viktoria Žižkov v Dukla Praha analysis