Dukla Praha vs Příbram preview
Dukla Praha faces Příbram with a 49% chance of winning, compared to Příbram's 25%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with a probability of 8%. Both teams show potential for scoring, as the model indicates a 67% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance for both teams to score.
Dukla Praha's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Příbram has only 2 wins in the same period. The expected goals are close, with Dukla Praha at 1.74 and Příbram at 1.68. However, Příbram has a stronger head-to-head record, winning 5 of the last 10 encounters. This could influence the outcome and make the predictions less reliable.
Dukla Praha vs Příbram: model vs market
| Source | Dukla Praha | Draw | Příbram |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 39% | 24% | 37% |
| Market | 53% | 26% | 22% |
| Published | 49% | 25% | 25% |
| Edge | -3% | 0% | +4% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.78, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -12.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Dukla Praha vs Příbram odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dukla Praha, 8 snapshots since 2026-11-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dukla Praha | 1.78 | 1.73 | -0.05 |
| Draw | 3.58 | 3.54 | -0.03 |
| Příbram | 4.07 | 4.22 | +0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dukla Praha and Příbram expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.43
- Attack rating (Dukla Praha / Příbram)
- 1.09 / 1.28
- Defence rating (Dukla Praha / Příbram)
- 1.06 / 1.03
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dukla Praha vs Příbram score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dukla Praha goals. Columns: Příbram goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dukla Praha vs Příbram goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 68%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dukla Praha vs Příbram
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dukla Praha | 49% | 2.03 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.94 | |
| Příbram | 25% | 3.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 67% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 | 33% | 2.99 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68% | 1.47 |
| No | 32% | 3.14 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dukla Praha or draw) | 75% | 1.34 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Příbram) | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dukla Praha win by 2+ | 21% | 4.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dukla Praha and Příbram recent form
Dukla Praha
3W 2D 1L
Příbram
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dukla Praha at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 5-1-1
- Win rate
- 71%
- Goals for / match
- 2.14
- Goals against / match
- 1.14
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 7
- They have won 7 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.1 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 13 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Příbram away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-5-0
- Win rate
- 29%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.57
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 7
- They have won 5 of their 13 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dukla Praha at home only, Příbram away only.
Dukla Praha vs Příbram head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Dukla Praha 3 · draws 2 · Příbram 5.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-04-06 | Dukla Praha | 1-2 | Příbram | FNL |
| 2024-01-24 | Dukla Praha | 1-3 | Příbram | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-08-25 | Příbram | 0-0 | Dukla Praha | FNL |
| 2023-06-28 | Příbram | 2-2 | Dukla Praha | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2023-04-08 | Dukla Praha | 1-2 | Příbram | FNL |
| 2023-01-18 | Dukla Praha | 3-1 | Příbram | Friendlies Clubs |
| 2022-09-03 | Příbram | 1-0 | Dukla Praha | FNL |
| 2022-04-09 | Příbram | 2-3 | Dukla Praha | FNL |
| 2021-09-17 | Dukla Praha | 2-3 | Příbram | FNL |
| 2020-08-15 | Příbram | 1-3 | Dukla Praha | Friendlies Clubs |
Other Matchday 14 fixtures
- Opava v Vlašim — match page 2026-11-06
- Vysočina Jihlava vs Karviná — team news & stats 2026-11-06
- Ústí nad Labem vs Viktoria Žižkov 2026-11-06
- Arsenal Česká Lípa v Táborsko — match page 2026-11-07
- Hanácká vs Třinec — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Slavia Praha II vs Kladno 2026-11-08
- Baník Ostrava II v Prostějov — match page 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Dukla Praha, previous: Viktoria Žižkov v Dukla Praha analysis
- Příbram, previous: Příbram vs Táborsko prediction