Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem preview
In the match between Vlašim and Ústí nad Labem, the 1X2 probabilities show Vlašim at 48%, with a most likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). The model also indicates a strong chance for Over 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score at 62%.
However, the recent form suggests potential unpredictability. Vlašim has a mixed record of W-W-W-L-W-L, while Ústí nad Labem's recent results include D-L-W-L-D-W. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making it possible for the match to deviate from the expected scoreline or goal totals.
Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem: model vs market
| Source | Vlašim | Draw | Ústí nad Labem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 25% | 27% |
| Market | 40% | 27% | 33% |
| Published | 42% | 26% | 32% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -1% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.32.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the 2 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -3.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Vlašim and Ústí nad Labem expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.11
- Attack rating (Vlašim / Ústí nad Labem)
- 1.06 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Vlašim / Ústí nad Labem)
- 0.95 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Vlašim goals. Columns: Ústí nad Labem goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vlašim | 42% | 2.37 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.82 | |
| Ústí nad Labem | 32% | 3.17 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60% | 1.66 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 2.51 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Vlašim or draw) | 68% | 1.46 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Ústí nad Labem) | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Handicap -1 | Vlašim win by 2+ | 27% | 3.75 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Vlašim and Ústí nad Labem recent form
Vlašim
4W 0D 2L
Ústí nad Labem
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Vlašim at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 2.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Ústí nad Labem away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-2-0
- Win rate
- 60%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.40
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 11 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 11 matches.
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Vlašim at home only, Ústí nad Labem away only.
Vlašim vs Ústí nad Labem head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Vlašim 1 · draws 0 · Ústí nad Labem 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-09 | Vlašim | 7-2 | Ústí nad Labem | FNL |
| 2025-07-25 | Ústí nad Labem | 4-1 | Vlašim | FNL |
Other Matchday 13 fixtures
- Karviná v Slavia Praha II — match page 2026-10-30
- Příbram v Táborsko — match page 2026-10-31
- Třinec vs Arsenal Česká Lípa — team news & stats 2026-10-31
- Viktoria Žižkov vs Dukla Praha 2026-11-01
- Kladno v Hanácká — match page 2026-11-01
- Prostějov vs Opava — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Baník Ostrava II vs Vysočina Jihlava — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Vlašim, previous: Vysočina Jihlava vs Vlašim prediction
- Ústí nad Labem, previous: Ústí nad Labem – Karviná, 2026-10-23