Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah preview
In the upcoming match between Al Ahly and Olympic El Qanah, Al Ahly has a strong 70% chance to win, while Olympic El Qanah sits at just 10%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Al Ahly has shown solid recent form with 5 wins and a draw, while Olympic El Qanah has struggled, recording 4 draws and a loss in their last 5 matches.
Despite the favorable numbers for Al Ahly, the match could see a different outcome if Olympic El Qanah manages to improve their attacking play, as they have an expected goals figure of just 0.72. Both teams to score stands at 42%, indicating a possibility that Olympic El Qanah could find the net. The likelihood of Over 2.5 goals is also at 42%, suggesting a low-scoring affair is more probable.
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah: model vs market
| Source | Al Ahly | Draw | Olympic El Qanah |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 27% | 15% |
| Market | 75% | 17% | 8% |
| Published | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Edge | -17% | +10% | +7% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.63 vs 0.72.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.27, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Al Ahly, 4 snapshots since 2026-10-15.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Al Ahly | 1.25 | 1.22 | -0.03 |
| Draw | 5.24 | 5.39 | +0.15 |
| Olympic El Qanah | 11.80 | 11.61 | -0.20 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Al Ahly and Olympic El Qanah expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.35
- Attack rating (Al Ahly / Olympic El Qanah)
- 1.54 / 0.97
- Defence rating (Al Ahly / Olympic El Qanah)
- 0.74 / 1.01
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Al Ahly goals. Columns: Olympic El Qanah goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 11%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Al Ahly vs Olympic El Qanah
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 71% | 1.41 |
| Draw | 19% | 5.15 | |
| Olympic El Qanah | 10% | 10.28 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.35 |
| No | 58% | 1.74 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Al Ahly or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 81% | 1.24 | |
| X2 (draw or Olympic El Qanah) | 29% | 3.43 | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win by 2+ | 33% | 3.07 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Al Ahly and Olympic El Qanah recent form
Al Ahly
5W 1D 0L
Olympic El Qanah
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Al Ahly at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Olympic El Qanah away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Al Ahly at home only, Olympic El Qanah away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad 2026-10-19
- Enppi v El Mokawloon — match page 2026-10-19
- Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC 2026-10-20
- Masr vs Future FC 2026-10-20
- Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt — team news & stats 2026-10-20
- El Geish v Pyramids FC — match page 2026-10-20
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Ceramica Cleopatra vs Petrojet — team news & stats 2026-10-21
Before and after this match
- Al Ahly, previous: Kitara vs Al Ahly prediction
- Al Ahly, next: Al Ahly vs Kitara prediction
- Olympic El Qanah, previous: Olympic El Qanah vs AL Masry prediction