El Geish vs Pyramids FC preview
In the upcoming match between El Geish and Pyramids FC, the 1X2 probabilities show El Geish at 12%, a draw at 23%, and Pyramids FC at 65%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-2, which occurs with a 15% probability. Pyramids FC's strong form, with 6 consecutive wins, supports their high expected goals of 2.33 compared to El Geish's 0.54.
However, the match could deviate from predictions if El Geish manages to improve their recent form, which includes 2 wins in their last 5 matches. The 55% chance for Over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score could also be impacted by any unexpected performances from either side.
El Geish vs Pyramids FC: model vs market
| Source | El Geish | Draw | Pyramids FC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6% | 17% | 77% |
| Market | 14% | 25% | 60% |
| Published | 12% | 23% | 64% |
| Edge | -9% | -8% | +16% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.21 vs 0.47.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Pyramids FC below the model: +16.4 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update.
El Geish vs Pyramids FC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Pyramids FC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| El Geish | 6.48 | 6.31 | -0.17 |
| Draw | 3.67 | 3.62 | -0.05 |
| Pyramids FC | 1.52 | 1.52 | -0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
El Geish and Pyramids FC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.69
- Attack rating (El Geish / Pyramids FC)
- 0.70 / 1.87
- Defence rating (El Geish / Pyramids FC)
- 1.18 / 0.64
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
El Geish vs Pyramids FC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: El Geish goals. Columns: Pyramids FC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
El Geish vs Pyramids FC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 34%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for El Geish vs Pyramids FC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | El Geish | 12% | 8.13 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.29 | |
| Pyramids FC | 64% | 1.55 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
| Under 2.5 | 50% | 2.01 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 34% | 2.91 |
| No | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Double chance | 1X (El Geish or draw) | 36% | 2.81 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Pyramids FC) | 88% | 1.14 | |
| Handicap -1 | Pyramids FC win by 2+ | 53% | 1.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
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El Geish and Pyramids FC recent form
El Geish
2W 1D 3L
Pyramids FC
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
El Geish at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pyramids FC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: El Geish at home only, Pyramids FC away only.
El Geish vs Pyramids FC head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: El Geish 0 · draws 0 · Pyramids FC 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-27 | Pyramids FC | 4-0 | El Geish | Egypt Premier League |
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Before and after this match
- El Geish, previous: National Bank of Egypt v El Geish analysis
- Pyramids FC, previous: EL Merriekh Bentiu – Pyramids FC, 2026-10-16
- Pyramids FC, next: Pyramids FC vs EL Merriekh Bentiu: odds and pick