Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC preview
Asyut Petrol faces Zamalek SC with a 14% chance of winning for the home side compared to Zamalek's 55%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 20% of the time in our model. Zamalek SC's recent form shows 6 matches with 5 wins, while Asyut Petrol has only 1 win in their last 6 games.
While Zamalek SC is favored, factors like Asyut Petrol's home advantage or an unexpected performance could change the outcome. The chances for Over 2.5 goals sit at 27%, and both teams to score is at 30%, indicating a low-scoring match is likely. The expected goals are 0.52 for Asyut Petrol and 1.29 for Zamalek SC, supporting a tight game.
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC: model vs market
| Source | Asyut Petrol | Draw | Zamalek SC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14% | 32% | 54% |
| Market | 11% | 23% | 66% |
| Published | 12% | 25% | 63% |
| Edge | +3% | +8% | -11% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.28 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.44, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Zamalek SC, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Asyut Petrol | 8.43 | 8.35 | -0.08 |
| Draw | 3.99 | 3.98 | -0.01 |
| Zamalek SC | 1.40 | 1.40 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Asyut Petrol and Zamalek SC expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.80
- Attack rating (Asyut Petrol / Zamalek SC)
- 0.75 / 1.27
- Defence rating (Asyut Petrol / Zamalek SC)
- 1.01 / 0.66
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Asyut Petrol goals. Columns: Zamalek SC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 30%
- No goals (0–0)
- 18%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Asyut Petrol | 12% | 8.51 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.96 | |
| Zamalek SC | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27% | 3.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 73% | 1.37 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30% | 3.29 |
| No | 70% | 1.44 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Asyut Petrol or draw) | 37% | 2.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 75% | 1.34 | |
| X2 (draw or Zamalek SC) | 88% | 1.13 | |
| Handicap -1 | Zamalek SC win by 2+ | 27% | 3.77 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Asyut Petrol and Zamalek SC recent form
Asyut Petrol
1W 2D 3L
Zamalek SC
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Asyut Petrol at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
Zamalek SC away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 2
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Asyut Petrol at home only, Zamalek SC away only.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad 2026-10-19
- Enppi v El Mokawloon — match page 2026-10-19
- Masr vs Future FC 2026-10-20
- Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt — team news & stats 2026-10-20
- El Geish v Pyramids FC — match page 2026-10-20
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Al Ahly v Olympic El Qanah — match page 2026-10-21
Before and after this match
- Asyut Petrol, previous: Abu Qair Semad vs Asyut Petrol: odds and pick
- Zamalek SC, previous: APR v Zamalek SC analysis
- Zamalek SC, next: Zamalek SC vs APR prediction