Enppi vs El Mokawloon preview
In the upcoming match between Enppi and El Mokawloon, the 1X2 probabilities show El Mokawloon at 40% to win, while Enppi stands at 29%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance according to our model. Enppi's expected goals are 1.13, compared to El Mokawloon’s 1.84, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors.
Both teams to score has a probability of 58%, and there is a 57% chance of Over 2.5 goals. However, Enppi's recent form is concerning, with 4 losses in their last 6 matches, which could impact their performance. El Mokawloon, despite some inconsistencies, has shown better form recently, with 3 draws and 2 wins in their last 6 games.
Enppi vs El Mokawloon: model vs market
| Source | Enppi | Draw | El Mokawloon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22% | 25% | 53% |
| Market | 35% | 32% | 33% |
| Published | 32% | 31% | 38% |
| Edge | -12% | -7% | +20% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.13.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices El Mokawloon below the model: +19.6 percentage points of edge.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.96, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Enppi vs El Mokawloon odds movement
Median bookmaker price on El Mokawloon, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-13.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Enppi | 2.89 | 2.64 | -0.25 |
| Draw | 2.79 | 2.81 | +0.02 |
| El Mokawloon | 2.62 | 2.77 | +0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Enppi and El Mokawloon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.96
- Attack rating (Enppi / El Mokawloon)
- 1.22 / 1.17
- Defence rating (Enppi / El Mokawloon)
- 1.56 / 0.88
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Enppi vs El Mokawloon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Enppi goals. Columns: El Mokawloon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Enppi vs El Mokawloon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 58%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Enppi vs El Mokawloon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Enppi | 32% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.27 | |
| El Mokawloon | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57% | 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 2.32 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58% | 1.72 |
| No | 42% | 2.38 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Enppi or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or El Mokawloon) | 68% | 1.46 | |
| Handicap -1 | El Mokawloon win by 2+ | 30% | 3.30 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Enppi and El Mokawloon recent form
Enppi
1W 1D 4L
El Mokawloon
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Enppi at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
El Mokawloon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Enppi at home only, El Mokawloon away only.
Enppi vs El Mokawloon head-to-head
Last 1 meetings: Enppi 0 · draws 1 · El Mokawloon 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-17 | El Mokawloon | 1-1 | Enppi | Egypt Premier League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- El Gouna FC vs Smouha SC — team news & stats 2026-10-19
- AL Masry vs Abu Qair Semad 2026-10-19
- Asyut Petrol vs Zamalek SC 2026-10-20
- Masr vs Future FC 2026-10-20
- Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt — team news & stats 2026-10-20
- El Geish v Pyramids FC — match page 2026-10-20
- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Al Ahly v Olympic El Qanah — match page 2026-10-21
Before and after this match
- Enppi, previous: Future FC vs Enppi: odds and pick
- El Mokawloon, previous: El Mokawloon v Masr analysis