Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt preview
Wadi Degla faces National Bank of Egypt with 33% chances for a Wadi Degla win and 37% for a National Bank of Egypt victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with an 8% probability. The expected goals are close, with Wadi Degla at 1.43 and National Bank of Egypt at 1.40.
Both teams to score stands at 59%, and there is a 54% chance of Over 2.5 goals. Recent form shows Wadi Degla with 2 draws and 1 win in their last 5 matches, while National Bank of Egypt has 3 wins and 2 losses. The head-to-head record favors Wadi Degla with 1 win and 1 draw in the last 2 encounters. A draw or a low-scoring match could make predictions less accurate.
Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt: model vs market
| Source | Wadi Degla | Draw | National Bank of Egypt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 32% | 30% | 38% |
| Published | 33% | 30% | 37% |
| Edge | +5% | -3% | -2% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.50, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update.
Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt odds movement
Median bookmaker price on National Bank of Egypt, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-14.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wadi Degla | 2.88 | 2.87 | -0.01 |
| Draw | 2.97 | 3.00 | +0.03 |
| National Bank of Egypt | 2.45 | 2.40 | -0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Wadi Degla and National Bank of Egypt expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.84
- Attack rating (Wadi Degla / National Bank of Egypt)
- 1.25 / 1.25
- Defence rating (Wadi Degla / National Bank of Egypt)
- 1.12 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Wadi Degla goals. Columns: National Bank of Egypt goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 59%
- No goals (0–0)
- 7%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wadi Degla | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.38 | |
| National Bank of Egypt | 37% | 2.68 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54% | 1.85 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 2.17 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59% | 1.71 |
| No | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Wadi Degla or draw) | 63% | 1.60 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or National Bank of Egypt) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | National Bank of Egypt win by 2+ | 17% | 5.89 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Wadi Degla and National Bank of Egypt recent form
Wadi Degla
1W 3D 2L
National Bank of Egypt
3W 0D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Wadi Degla at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.67
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
National Bank of Egypt away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-2
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Wadi Degla at home only, National Bank of Egypt away only.
Wadi Degla vs National Bank of Egypt head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Wadi Degla 1 · draws 1 · National Bank of Egypt 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Wadi Degla | 2-0 | National Bank of Egypt | Egypt Premier League |
| 2025-09-24 | National Bank of Egypt | 1-1 | Wadi Degla | Egypt Premier League |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- Ghazl El Mehalla vs Al Ittihad — team news & stats 2026-10-21
- Al Ahly v Olympic El Qanah — match page 2026-10-21
Before and after this match
- Wadi Degla, previous: Petrojet vs Wadi Degla prediction
- National Bank of Egypt, previous: National Bank of Egypt v El Geish analysis