FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri preview
FC Levadia Tallinn has a 72% chance of winning against Laagri, with a most likely scoreline of 2-0 at 14%. The expected goals show FC Levadia Tallinn at 2.21 and Laagri at 0.68, indicating a significant advantage for the home side.
However, Laagri comes into this match with a recent form of W-W-D-W-L-L, which suggests they could pose a challenge. While the model predicts Over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams to score at 45%, Laagri's scoring ability might not meet expectations, potentially affecting these outcomes.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri: model vs market
| Source | FC Levadia Tallinn | Draw | Laagri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 65% | 23% | 12% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.86 vs 0.67.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 4 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
FC Levadia Tallinn and Laagri expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.53
- Attack rating (FC Levadia Tallinn / Laagri)
- 1.56 / 0.97
- Defence rating (FC Levadia Tallinn / Laagri)
- 0.50 / 0.68
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: FC Levadia Tallinn goals. Columns: Laagri goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 42%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 65% | 1.54 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.27 | |
| Laagri | 12% | 8.54 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.16 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.86 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42% | 2.37 |
| No | 58% | 1.73 | |
| Double chance | 1X (FC Levadia Tallinn or draw) | 88% | 1.13 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.31 | |
| X2 (draw or Laagri) | 35% | 2.85 | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Levadia Tallinn win by 2+ | 40% | 2.52 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
FC Levadia Tallinn and Laagri recent form
FC Levadia Tallinn
5W 1D 0L
Laagri
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
FC Levadia Tallinn at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 11-3-1
- Win rate
- 73%
- Goals for / match
- 3.13
- Goals against / match
- 0.47
- Clean sheets
- 10 of 15
- They have won 24 of their 31 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.1 goals per game at home against 2.4 on the road.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 31 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 10 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 6 penalties (67%).
Laagri away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-9
- Win rate
- 40%
- Goals for / match
- 1.20
- Goals against / match
- 1.73
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 15
- They have won 14 of their 32 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 32 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 32 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: FC Levadia Tallinn at home only, Laagri away only.
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Laagri head-to-head
Last 7 meetings: FC Levadia Tallinn 6 · draws 1 · Laagri 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-16 | Laagri | 1-2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| 2026-05-09 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 3-0 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| 2026-03-15 | Laagri | 1-3 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-11-08 | Laagri | 2-2 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-07-19 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 3-0 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-05-31 | Laagri | 0-1 | FC Levadia Tallinn | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-02-28 | FC Levadia Tallinn | 5-0 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
Other Matchday 33 fixtures
- Tammeka v Trans Narva — match page 2026-10-23
- Nõmme United vs Vaprus — team news & stats 2026-10-23
- Kuressaare vs Paide — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Kalju Nomme v Flora Tallinn — match page 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- FC Levadia Tallinn, previous: Kuressaare vs FC Levadia Tallinn: odds and pick
- Laagri, previous: Laagri vs Flora Tallinn: odds and pick