Tammeka vs Laagri preview
In the Meistriliiga fixture between Tammeka and Laagri, the 1X2 probabilities show Tammeka and Laagri both at 37%, with a draw at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score stands at 62%, and Over 2.5 goals is predicted at 59%.
Tammeka's recent form is W-L-L-W-L-L, while Laagri has a stronger record of L-W-W-W-W-D. The expected goals are close, with Tammeka at 1.53 and Laagri at 1.51. A potential factor that could affect the outcome is Tammeka's inconsistency, which may influence their ability to secure a win despite their historical head-to-head advantage of 6 wins in the last 10 matches.
Tammeka vs Laagri: model vs market
| Source | Tammeka | Draw | Laagri |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Tammeka and Laagri expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.04
- Attack rating (Tammeka / Laagri)
- 1.15 / 1.01
- Defence rating (Tammeka / Laagri)
- 1.10 / 0.75
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Tammeka vs Laagri score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Tammeka goals. Columns: Laagri goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Tammeka vs Laagri goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 62%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Tammeka vs Laagri
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tammeka | 37% | 2.69 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.80 | |
| Laagri | 37% | 2.74 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59% | 1.71 |
| Under 2.5 | 41% | 2.42 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62% | 1.61 |
| No | 38% | 2.64 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Tammeka or draw) | 63% | 1.58 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Laagri) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Tammeka win by 2+ | 19% | 5.38 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Tammeka and Laagri recent form
Tammeka
2W 0D 4L
Laagri
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Tammeka at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 9-1-6
- Win rate
- 56%
- Goals for / match
- 1.62
- Goals against / match
- 1.12
- Clean sheets
- 5 of 16
- They have won 16 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 9 of 33 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
- They have converted 5 of 6 penalties (83%).
- 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Laagri away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 6-0-10
- Win rate
- 38%
- Goals for / match
- 1.19
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 16
- They have won 15 of their 33 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 10 clean sheets in 33 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 33 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Tammeka at home only, Laagri away only.
Tammeka vs Laagri head-to-head
Last 10 meetings: Tammeka 6 · draws 1 · Laagri 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Laagri | 0-2 | Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| 2026-07-05 | Tammeka | 2-1 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| 2026-04-25 | Laagri | 1-0 | Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-10-22 | Laagri | 2-2 | Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-08-31 | Tammeka | 3-0 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-06-13 | Tammeka | 2-1 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| 2025-04-18 | Laagri | 4-1 | Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| 2023-11-10 | Tammeka | 2-1 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
| 2023-07-09 | Laagri | 3-0 | Tammeka | Meistriliiga |
| 2023-06-07 | Tammeka | 2-0 | Laagri | Meistriliiga |
Other Matchday 35 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- Tammeka, previous: FC Levadia Tallinn vs Tammeka prediction
- Laagri, previous: FC Levadia Tallinn – Laagri, 2026-10-24