Updated

Ligue 2 · Matchday 9

Annecy vs Nancy

· Parc des Sports, Annecy

Alin prediction Nancy to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

8% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AnnecyDrawNancy
Best market odds
Annecy2.77 Draw3.50 Nancy2.52
Bet on Nancy

Annecy vs Nancy preview

In the upcoming match between Annecy and Nancy, the 1X2 probabilities show Annecy at 36% and Nancy at 36%, indicating a balanced contest. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, with an 8% chance. Both teams to score stands at 56%, and Over 2.5 goals is at 50%, suggesting potential for an engaging match.

Annecy's recent form includes 2 wins and 4 losses, while Nancy has performed better with 5 wins and 1 loss in their last 6 matches. The expected goals are 1.43 for Annecy and 1.26 for Nancy. The head-to-head record is even, with each team winning once in their last 2 encounters. A draw is also a possibility, making the outcome less predictable.

Annecy vs Nancy: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAnnecyDrawNancy
Model40%28%32%
Market35%28%38%
Published36%28%36%
Edge+5%+1%-6%
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.52, recorded — the top price across the 5 books we record, each at its own last update.

Annecy and Nancy expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.43Annecy
1.26Nancy
Total expected goals
2.68
Attack rating (Annecy / Nancy)
1.12 / 1.09
Defence rating (Annecy / Nancy)
0.95 / 0.96

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Annecy vs Nancy score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 8.1% 7.4% 5.4% 2.3% 0.9% 1 8.5% 13.5% 7.7% 3.2% 1.3% 2 6.9% 8.7% 5.5% 2.3% 1.0% 3 3.3% 4.2% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5% 4+ 1.6% 2.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2%

Rows: Annecy goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Annecy vs Nancy goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 92%
Over 1.5 76%
Over 2.5 50%
Over 3.5 28%
Both teams to score
56%
No goals (0–0)
8%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Annecy vs Nancy

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Annecy36%2.79
Draw28%3.61
Nancy36%2.75
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550%1.99
Under 2.550%2.01
Both teams to scoreYes56%1.80
No44%2.25
Double chance1X (Annecy or draw)64%1.57
12 (either side)72%1.38
X2 (draw or Nancy)64%1.56
Handicap -1Nancy win by 2+14%7.01
Push (exactly one goal)18%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

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Annecy and Nancy recent form

Annecy 2W 1D 3L
Nancy 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Annecy at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.33
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.

Nancy away

Record (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
1.00
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Annecy at home only, Nancy away only.

Annecy vs Nancy head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Annecy 1 · draws 0 · Nancy 1.

AnnecyDrawsNancy
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-04-17Nancy1-5AnnecyLigue 2
2025-09-23Annecy1-2NancyLigue 2

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Nancy to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Nancy