Dunkerque vs Annecy preview
Dunkerque hosts Annecy in Ligue 2 with a 39% chance for Dunkerque to win, compared to Annecy's 35%. The expected goals show Dunkerque at 1.45 and Annecy at 1.86, indicating a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which aligns with a high probability of Over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams to score at 66%.
Dunkerque's recent form includes two draws and three losses, while Annecy has won two of their last six matches. The head-to-head record favors Annecy with four wins in the last six encounters. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty. Factors like a sudden change in form or key player performances could influence the outcome.
Dunkerque vs Annecy: model vs market
| Source | Dunkerque | Draw | Annecy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29% | 24% | 46% |
| Market | 42% | 27% | 31% |
| Published | 39% | 26% | 35% |
| Edge | -13% | -3% | +16% |
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
Dunkerque vs Annecy odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Dunkerque, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque | 2.20 | 2.20 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.42 | 3.40 | -0.02 |
| Annecy | 3.02 | 3.00 | -0.02 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Dunkerque and Annecy expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.32
- Attack rating (Dunkerque / Annecy)
- 1.04 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Dunkerque / Annecy)
- 1.32 / 1.06
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Dunkerque vs Annecy score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Dunkerque goals. Columns: Annecy goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Dunkerque vs Annecy goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 66%
- No goals (0–0)
- 5%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Dunkerque vs Annecy
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dunkerque | 39% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 | |
| Annecy | 35% | 2.88 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64% | 1.55 |
| Under 2.5 | 36% | 2.81 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66% | 1.52 |
| No | 34% | 2.92 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Dunkerque or draw) | 65% | 1.53 |
| 12 (either side) | 74% | 1.36 | |
| X2 (draw or Annecy) | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Handicap -1 | Dunkerque win by 2+ | 14% | 7.27 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Dunkerque and Annecy recent form
Dunkerque
1W 2D 3L
Annecy
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Dunkerque at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-1
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.25
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- 63% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Annecy away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
League matches this season before kick-off: Dunkerque at home only, Annecy away only.
Dunkerque vs Annecy head-to-head
Last 6 meetings: Dunkerque 1 · draws 1 · Annecy 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Dunkerque | 0-1 | Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-08-16 | Annecy | 2-2 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-01-27 | Annecy | 0-2 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
| 2024-08-16 | Dunkerque | 0-2 | Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| 2024-03-30 | Dunkerque | 0-2 | Annecy | Ligue 2 |
| 2023-08-19 | Annecy | 3-0 | Dunkerque | Ligue 2 |
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