PAU vs Laval preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between PAU and Laval, the model gives PAU a 44% chance to win, while both teams to score stands at 54%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of PAU, with a 9% probability.
PAU's expected goals are 1.40 compared to Laval's 1.21, indicating a slight edge for the home side. However, Laval's recent form shows they have managed to secure a win in their last game, which could disrupt PAU's plans. The confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome.
PAU vs Laval: model vs market
| Source | PAU | Draw | Laval |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 29% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 27% | 27% |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | -5% | +1% | +4% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update.
PAU vs Laval odds movement
Median bookmaker price on PAU, 8 snapshots since 2026-10-03.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAU | 2.05 | 2.05 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.35 | 3.40 | +0.05 |
| Laval | 3.40 | 3.40 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
PAU and Laval expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.61
- Attack rating (PAU / Laval)
- 0.87 / 0.90
- Defence rating (PAU / Laval)
- 1.10 / 1.22
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
PAU vs Laval score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: PAU goals. Columns: Laval goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
PAU vs Laval goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 54%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for PAU vs Laval
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | PAU | 44% | 2.27 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.61 | |
| Laval | 28% | 3.53 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.06 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.94 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 54% | 1.85 |
| No | 46% | 2.18 | |
| Double chance | 1X (PAU or draw) | 72% | 1.39 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Laval) | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Handicap -1 | PAU win by 2+ | 19% | 5.13 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
PAU and Laval recent form
PAU
2W 2D 2L
Laval
1W 2D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
PAU at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-2
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Laval away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 2.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: PAU at home only, Laval away only.
PAU vs Laval head-to-head
Last 9 meetings: PAU 5 · draws 2 · Laval 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | Laval | 0-1 | PAU | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-09-23 | PAU | 1-0 | Laval | Ligue 2 |
| 2025-01-31 | PAU | 1-1 | Laval | Ligue 2 |
| 2024-09-27 | Laval | 3-1 | PAU | Ligue 2 |
| 2024-04-20 | PAU | 3-0 | Laval | Ligue 2 |
| 2023-12-16 | Laval | 1-1 | PAU | Ligue 2 |
| 2023-02-18 | PAU | 0-1 | Laval | Ligue 2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Laval | 0-1 | PAU | Ligue 2 |
| 2019-10-18 | Laval | 0-1 | PAU | Ligue 3 |
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