Updated

Ligue 2 · Matchday 9

Laval vs Clermont Foot

· Stade Francis Le Basser, Laval

Alin prediction Clermont Foot to win

Cmodel only, no market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

12% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
LavalDrawClermont Foot

Laval vs Clermont Foot preview

In the Ligue 2 fixture between Laval and Clermont Foot, the 1X2 probabilities show Clermont Foot at 37%, slightly ahead of Laval at 31%, with a draw at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, predicted at 12%. Both teams to score stands at 45%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 36%.

Laval's recent form is poor, with 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 5 matches. Clermont Foot has also struggled, recording 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 games. The expected goals are Laval 1.01 and Clermont Foot 1.14, indicating a tight match. A surprising result could arise if Laval improves their form or if Clermont Foot fails to convert their chances.

Laval vs Clermont Foot: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceLavalDrawClermont Foot
Model31%32%37%
Market———
Published31%32%37%
Edge———

Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).

Laval and Clermont Foot expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.01Laval
1.14Clermont Foot
Total expected goals
2.15
Attack rating (Laval / Clermont Foot)
0.98 / 0.70
Defence rating (Laval / Clermont Foot)
1.35 / 0.78

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Laval vs Clermont Foot score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.0% 11.9% 7.6% 2.9% 1.1% 1 10.4% 14.7% 7.7% 2.9% 1.1% 2 5.9% 6.8% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 3 2.0% 2.3% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Laval goals. Columns: Clermont Foot goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Laval vs Clermont Foot goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 87%
Over 1.5 65%
Over 2.5 36%
Over 3.5 17%
Both teams to score
45%
No goals (0–0)
13%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Laval vs Clermont Foot

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Laval31%3.27
Draw32%3.11
Clermont Foot37%2.68
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536%2.75
Under 2.564%1.57
Both teams to scoreYes45%2.24
No55%1.81
Double chance1X (Laval or draw)63%1.60
12 (either side)68%1.47
X2 (draw or Clermont Foot)69%1.44
Handicap -1Clermont Foot win by 2+16%6.21
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

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Laval and Clermont Foot recent form

Laval 0W 2D 4L
Clermont Foot 0W 5D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Laval at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.75
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Clermont Foot away

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-1
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Laval at home only, Clermont Foot away only.

Laval vs Clermont Foot head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Laval 0 · draws 1 · Clermont Foot 1.

LavalDrawsClermont Foot
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-03Clermont Foot4-1LavalLigue 2
2025-08-29Laval0-0Clermont FootLigue 2

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Clermont Foot to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Clermont Foot