Updated

Ligue 2 · Matchday 8

Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93

· Stade Gabriel Montpied, Clermont-Ferrand· Referee Leprodhomme·Tifenn

Full time2 – 3

Alin prediction was RED Star FC 93 to win

Cblended with market oddsCorrect

Predicted score 0 – 1

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Clermont FootDrawRED Star FC 93

Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceClermont FootDrawRED Star FC 93
Model28%33%40%
Market27%28%46%
Published27%29%44%
Edge0%+1%-2%
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93 odds movement

Median bookmaker price on RED Star FC 93, 15 snapshots since 2026-10-03.

Opened 2.05Now 2.03 -0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Clermont Foot3.423.51+0.09
Draw3.333.38+0.05
RED Star FC 932.052.03-0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Clermont Foot and RED Star FC 93 expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.92Clermont Foot
1.15RED Star FC 93
Total expected goals
2.07
Attack rating (Clermont Foot / RED Star FC 93)
0.70 / 1.22
Defence rating (Clermont Foot / RED Star FC 93)
0.78 / 1.00

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93 score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 13.9% 13.2% 8.4% 3.2% 1.2% 1 10.2% 14.7% 7.7% 3.0% 1.1% 2 5.3% 6.1% 3.5% 1.4% 0.5% 3 1.6% 1.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 4+ 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Rows: Clermont Foot goals. Columns: RED Star FC 93 goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93 goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 86%
Over 1.5 63%
Over 2.5 34%
Over 3.5 16%
Both teams to score
43%
No goals (0–0)
14%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Clermont Foot27%3.73
Draw29%3.47
RED Star FC 9344%2.26
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534%2.91
Under 2.566%1.52
Both teams to scoreYes43%2.35
No57%1.74
Double chance1X (Clermont Foot or draw)56%1.80
12 (either side)71%1.41
X2 (draw or RED Star FC 93)73%1.37
Handicap -1RED Star FC 93 win by 2+17%5.75
Push (exactly one goal)22%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Clermont Foot and RED Star FC 93 recent form

Clermont Foot 0W 5D 1L
RED Star FC 93 3W 2D 1L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Clermont Foot at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-4-0
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.25
Goals against / match
0.25
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

RED Star FC 93 away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.75
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Clermont Foot at home only, RED Star FC 93 away only.

Expected lineups

Clermont Foot lineup · 4-1-4-1

  1. 30 T. Guivarch
  2. 6 E. Koné
  3. 4 E. Kabeya
  4. 21 Y. Salmier
  5. 93 I. Coulibaly
  6. 5 J. Grillot
  7. 7 F. Bianchini
  8. 26 R. Kouamé
  9. 77 E. Cantero
  10. 9 Luís Semedo

Bench: A. Pelmard, J. Sambia, J. Astic, M. Ndiaye, O. Diop, A. Hunou, I. M'Bahia, J. Nyindong Tsamouna, C. Okou

RED Star FC 93 lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 16 G. Poussin
  2. 5 J. Escartin
  3. 4 E. Zidane
  4. 20 D. Durivaux
  5. 2 T. Magnin
  6. 17 S. Renel
  7. 19 I. Halifa
  8. 7 D. Durand
  9. 10 S. Khaoui
  10. 11 K. Cissé
  11. 23 J. Ikanga A Ngele

Bench: Yanis Benchaouch Marty, M. Huard, B. Danger, I. Despotovic, Idrissa Sabaly, Leonardo Buta, G. Kyeremeh, Cheick Konate, C. Bianay Balcot

Clermont Foot vs RED Star FC 93 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Clermont Foot 2 · draws 5 · RED Star FC 93 3.

Clermont FootDrawsRED Star FC 93
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-20Clermont Foot0-1RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
2025-11-22RED Star FC 932-2Clermont FootLigue 2
2025-04-25RED Star FC 931-1Clermont FootLigue 2
2024-09-24Clermont Foot1-1RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
2019-03-15RED Star FC 930-4Clermont FootLigue 2
2018-10-19Clermont Foot0-0RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
2017-01-13RED Star FC 931-3Clermont FootLigue 2
2016-08-05Clermont Foot0-0RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
2016-03-21Clermont Foot0-2RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
2015-10-30RED Star FC 932-1Clermont FootLigue 2

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match