Reims vs Dijon preview
In the Ligue 2 fixture between Reims and Dijon, the 1X2 probabilities show Reims at 48%, Dijon at 29%, with a likely scoreline of 2-1 (9%). Both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals are both at 70%, indicating a strong potential for an open match.
Reims has an expected goals figure of 2.06, while Dijon sits at 1.56. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting that while Reims is favored, unexpected outcomes could occur. Dijon’s recent form includes two wins, which could challenge Reims' consistency.
Reims vs Dijon: model vs market
| Source | Reims | Draw | Dijon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 48% | 23% | 29% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.56.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = model probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Reims and Dijon expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.62
- Attack rating (Reims / Dijon)
- 1.49 / 1.22
- Defence rating (Reims / Dijon)
- 1.05 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Reims vs Dijon score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Reims goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Reims vs Dijon goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 70%
- No goals (0–0)
- 4%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Reims vs Dijon
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reims | 48% | 2.06 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.36 | |
| Dijon | 29% | 3.50 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70% | 1.43 |
| Under 2.5 | 30% | 3.35 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 70% | 1.43 |
| No | 30% | 3.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Reims or draw) | 71% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 77% | 1.30 | |
| X2 (draw or Dijon) | 52% | 1.94 | |
| Handicap -1 | Reims win by 2+ | 29% | 3.48 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Reims and Dijon recent form
Reims
3W 3D 0L
Dijon
2W 2D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Reims at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 2.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
Dijon away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-3-0
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 55% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Reims at home only, Dijon away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Guingamp vs PAU 2026-10-16
- Grenoble vs Boulogne — team news & stats 2026-10-16
- Laval vs Clermont Foot 2026-10-16
- Annecy v Nancy — match page 2026-10-16
Before and after this match
- Reims, previous: Nantes vs Reims: odds and pick
- Dijon, previous: Dijon v Metz analysis