AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos preview
In the upcoming match between AEK Athens FC and Levadiakos, the 1X2 probabilities show AEK Athens FC at 74% to win and Levadiakos at 10%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1, which occurs 10% of the time according to our model. AEK Athens FC has an expected goals figure of 1.98, while Levadiakos sits at 1.04.
Both teams to score has a probability of 57%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%. AEK Athens FC's recent form includes three losses followed by a win, while Levadiakos has one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating some uncertainty in the outcome.
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos: model vs market
| Source | AEK Athens FC | Draw | Levadiakos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 79% | 14% | 7% |
| Published | 74% | 17% | 10% |
| Edge | -5% | +2% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.04.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.21, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.8% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos odds movement
Median bookmaker price on AEK Athens FC, 28 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| AEK Athens FC | 1.14 | 1.18 | +0.04 |
| Draw | 7.00 | 6.45 | -0.55 |
| Levadiakos | 18.00 | 14.00 | -4.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
AEK Athens FC and Levadiakos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.02
- Attack rating (AEK Athens FC / Levadiakos)
- 1.53 / 0.75
- Defence rating (AEK Athens FC / Levadiakos)
- 1.25 / 0.87
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: AEK Athens FC goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AEK Athens FC | 74% | 1.36 |
| Draw | 17% | 5.99 | |
| Levadiakos | 10% | 10.46 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.39 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.76 |
| No | 43% | 2.31 | |
| Double chance | 1X (AEK Athens FC or draw) | 90% | 1.11 |
| 12 (either side) | 83% | 1.20 | |
| X2 (draw or Levadiakos) | 26% | 3.81 | |
| Handicap -1 | AEK Athens FC win by 2+ | 36% | 2.81 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
AEK Athens FC and Levadiakos recent form
AEK Athens FC
1W 0D 5L
Levadiakos
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
AEK Athens FC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 4.25
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 4
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 4.2 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Levadiakos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 8 of 8 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: AEK Athens FC at home only, Levadiakos away only.
AEK Athens FC vs Levadiakos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: AEK Athens FC 2 · draws 0 · Levadiakos 0.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | AEK Athens FC | 4-0 | Levadiakos | Super League 1 |
| 2025-09-14 | Levadiakos | 0-1 | AEK Athens FC | Super League 1 |
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Before and after this match
- AEK Athens FC, previous: AEK Athens FC vs Real Madrid prediction
- AEK Athens FC, next: Como – AEK Athens FC, 2026-11-24
- Levadiakos, previous: Levadiakos v Aris Thessalonikis analysis