Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos preview
Iraklis 1908 faces Panathinaikos with a 14% chance of winning compared to Panathinaikos' 63%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which has a 12% probability. Iraklis has struggled recently, with a form of L-L-W-D-D-W, while Panathinaikos has a strong recent record of W-W-W-W-W-L.
The expected goals show Iraklis at 0.87 and Panathinaikos at 1.75, indicating a potential for Panathinaikos to dominate. With both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals each sitting at 49%, there is a chance for a low-scoring match despite the attacking prowess of Panathinaikos. The confidence grade is C, suggesting some uncertainty in the predictions.
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos: model vs market
| Source | Iraklis 1908 | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17% | 26% | 57% |
| Market | 12% | 20% | 69% |
| Published | 13% | 21% | 66% |
| Edge | +1% | +2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.39, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.5% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panathinaikos, 28 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iraklis 1908 | 7.50 | 8.00 | +0.50 |
| Draw | 4.20 | 4.75 | +0.55 |
| Panathinaikos | 1.44 | 1.36 | -0.08 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Iraklis 1908 and Panathinaikos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.50
- Attack rating (Iraklis 1908 / Panathinaikos)
- 0.92 / 1.57
- Defence rating (Iraklis 1908 / Panathinaikos)
- 0.97 / 0.59
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Iraklis 1908 goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 46%
- No goals (0–0)
- 9%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Iraklis 1908 vs Panathinaikos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Iraklis 1908 | 13% | 7.76 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.70 | |
| Panathinaikos | 66% | 1.52 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46% | 2.19 |
| Under 2.5 | 54% | 1.84 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46% | 2.16 |
| No | 54% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Iraklis 1908 or draw) | 34% | 2.93 |
| 12 (either side) | 79% | 1.27 | |
| X2 (draw or Panathinaikos) | 87% | 1.15 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win by 2+ | 33% | 3.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Iraklis 1908 and Panathinaikos recent form
Iraklis 1908
1W 3D 2L
Panathinaikos
6W 0D 0L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Iraklis 1908 at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-1-1
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Panathinaikos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-1
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.25
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 4
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 3.5 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Iraklis 1908 at home only, Panathinaikos away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Volos NFC vs Kifisia — team news & stats 2026-11-07
- Aris Thessalonikis vs Panetolikos 2026-11-07
- AEK Athens FC v Levadiakos — match page 2026-11-08
- Asteras Tripolis vs Kalamata — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- OFI v Atromitos — match page 2026-11-08
- Olympiakos Piraeus vs PAOK 2026-11-08
Before and after this match
- Iraklis 1908, previous: Kalamata vs Iraklis 1908: odds and pick
- Panathinaikos, previous: Panathinaikos – CSKA Sofia, 2026-11-05
- Panathinaikos, next: FC Nordsjaelland – Panathinaikos, 2026-11-26