OFI vs Atromitos preview
In the Super League 1 fixture between OFI and Atromitos, the 1X2 probabilities show OFI at 44% and Atromitos at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals figure of 1.42 for OFI compared to 1.22 for Atromitos.
Both teams to score sits at 55%, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides. However, OFI's recent form shows 2 wins and 4 losses, while Atromitos has 2 wins and 4 losses as well. This inconsistency could affect the outcome, making it harder for either team to secure a win.
OFI vs Atromitos: model vs market
| Source | OFI | Draw | Atromitos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 45% | 28% | 28% |
| Published | 44% | 28% | 28% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | +1% |
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.11, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
OFI vs Atromitos odds movement
Median bookmaker price on OFI, 28 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| OFI | 2.25 | 2.09 | -0.16 |
| Draw | 3.25 | 3.40 | +0.15 |
| Atromitos | 3.10 | 3.40 | +0.30 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
OFI and Atromitos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.64
- Attack rating (OFI / Atromitos)
- 1.00 / 1.21
- Defence rating (OFI / Atromitos)
- 0.90 / 0.95
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
OFI vs Atromitos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: OFI goals. Columns: Atromitos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
OFI vs Atromitos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 55%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for OFI vs Atromitos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OFI | 44% | 2.29 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.60 | |
| Atromitos | 28% | 3.51 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.03 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.97 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55% | 1.83 |
| No | 45% | 2.21 | |
| Double chance | 1X (OFI or draw) | 72% | 1.40 |
| 12 (either side) | 72% | 1.38 | |
| X2 (draw or Atromitos) | 56% | 1.78 | |
| Handicap -1 | OFI win by 2+ | 20% | 5.06 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 | 100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
OFI and Atromitos recent form
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
OFI at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-1-0
- Win rate
- 75%
- Goals for / match
- 2.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 44% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Atromitos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-1-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.75
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 4
- They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: OFI at home only, Atromitos away only.
OFI vs Atromitos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: OFI 1 · draws 0 · Atromitos 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | Atromitos | 1-2 | OFI | Super League 1 |
| 2025-10-25 | OFI | 1-3 | Atromitos | Super League 1 |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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Before and after this match
- OFI, previous: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI prediction
- OFI, next: OFI vs Anderlecht prediction
- Atromitos, previous: Atromitos – Volos NFC, 2026-11-02