Updated

Super League 1 · Matchday 9

Atromitos vs Volos NFC

· Peristeri Stadium, Athens

Alin prediction Atromitos to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 2 – 1

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
AtromitosDrawVolos NFC
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.08.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Atromitos is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Atromitos1.91 Draw3.77 Volos NFC4.25

Price as of

Expected return at 1.91: +0.4% per unit staked

Atromitos vs Volos NFC preview

Atromitos has a 53% chance to win against Volos NFC, with a predicted scoreline of 2-1 at 10%. The model suggests there is a 58% likelihood of Over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. Atromitos has struggled recently, recording four losses and two draws in their last six matches. Volos NFC also has poor form, with six games resulting in five losses and one draw.

While Atromitos is favored, their recent performance raises questions. They have an expected goals rate of 1.96, compared to Volos NFC's 1.08. If Volos NFC can improve their attacking output, they might challenge Atromitos more than expected. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating some uncertainty in the prediction.

Atromitos vs Volos NFC: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAtromitosDrawVolos NFC
Model57%24%19%
Market51%26%23%
Published53%26%22%
Edge+1%-1%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.96 vs 1.08.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +0.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Atromitos vs Volos NFC odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Atromitos, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 1.96Now 1.82 -0.14
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Atromitos1.961.82-0.14
Draw3.403.55+0.15
Volos NFC3.704.10+0.40

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Atromitos and Volos NFC expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.96Atromitos
1.08Volos NFC
Total expected goals
3.03
Attack rating (Atromitos / Volos NFC)
0.98 / 0.84
Defence rating (Atromitos / Volos NFC)
1.14 / 1.34

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Atromitos vs Volos NFC score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 1 8.4% 11.1% 5.5% 2.0% 0.7% 2 9.2% 9.9% 5.3% 1.9% 0.6% 3 6.0% 6.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 4+ 4.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%

Rows: Atromitos goals. Columns: Volos NFC goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Atromitos vs Volos NFC goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 94%
Over 1.5 82%
Over 2.5 58%
Over 3.5 36%
Both teams to score
58%
No goals (0–0)
6%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Atromitos vs Volos NFC

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Atromitos53%1.90
Draw26%3.91
Volos NFC22%4.57
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558%1.71
Under 2.542%2.41
Both teams to scoreYes58%1.74
No42%2.36
Double chance1X (Atromitos or draw)78%1.28
12 (either side)74%1.34
X2 (draw or Volos NFC)47%2.11
Handicap -1Atromitos win by 2+34%2.91
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Atromitos and Volos NFC recent form

Atromitos 0W 2D 4L
Volos NFC 0W 1D 5L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Atromitos at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
1.67
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.

Volos NFC away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-3
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Atromitos at home only, Volos NFC away only.

Atromitos vs Volos NFC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Atromitos 4 · draws 3 · Volos NFC 3.

AtromitosDrawsVolos NFC
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-01-19Volos NFC0-3AtromitosSuper League 1
2025-11-09Atromitos0-1Volos NFCSuper League 1
2025-09-24Volos NFC1-1AtromitosGreece Cup
2025-01-24Volos NFC0-1AtromitosSuper League 1
2024-10-05Atromitos1-2Volos NFCSuper League 1
2024-04-13Volos NFC2-2AtromitosSuper League 1
2024-01-07Volos NFC1-2AtromitosSuper League 1
2023-09-18Atromitos1-1Volos NFCSuper League 1
2023-07-17Volos NFC0-1AtromitosFriendlies Clubs
2023-02-12Volos NFC2-1AtromitosSuper League 1

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Atromitos to win Predicted score 2 – 1 C Bet on Atromitos