Updated

Super League 1 · Matchday 9

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus

· Apostolos Nikolaidis Stadium, Athens

Alin prediction Olympiakos Piraeus to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 0 – 1

14% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
KifisiaDrawOlympiakos Piraeus
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.76.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Olympiakos Piraeus is the favourite, not a value bet.
Best market odds
Kifisia8.00 Draw4.40 Olympiakos Piraeus1.45

Price as of

Expected return at 1.45: -8.1% per unit staked

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus preview

In the upcoming match between Kifisia and Olympiakos Piraeus, the 1X2 probabilities suggest a strong advantage for Olympiakos Piraeus at 61%, compared to Kifisia's 15%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%. Kifisia has an expected goals figure of 0.82, while Olympiakos Piraeus stands at 1.27, indicating a potential struggle for Kifisia to find the net.

While Olympiakos Piraeus is in excellent form with 6 consecutive wins, Kifisia's recent performance shows mixed results with 3 wins and 3 losses. The model indicates a 35% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance for both teams to score. If Kifisia can improve their attacking output, they may challenge the expected outcome.

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceKifisiaDrawOlympiakos Piraeus
Model17%27%56%
Market12%22%66%
Published14%23%63%
Edge+1%+1%-2%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.59 vs 0.76.
  • Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.45, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -8.1% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Olympiakos Piraeus, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 1.40Now 1.42 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Kifisia7.657.50-0.15
Draw4.284.30+0.02
Olympiakos Piraeus1.401.42+0.02

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Kifisia and Olympiakos Piraeus expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

0.76Kifisia
1.59Olympiakos Piraeus
Total expected goals
2.35
Attack rating (Kifisia / Olympiakos Piraeus)
1.14 / 1.30
Defence rating (Kifisia / Olympiakos Piraeus)
1.09 / 0.45

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.7% 14.0% 12.0% 6.4% 3.6% 1 6.1% 12.7% 9.2% 4.9% 2.8% 2 2.8% 4.4% 3.5% 1.8% 1.0% 3 0.7% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 4+ 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%

Rows: Kifisia goals. Columns: Olympiakos Piraeus goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 89%
Over 1.5 69%
Over 2.5 42%
Over 3.5 21%
Both teams to score
44%
No goals (0–0)
11%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Kifisia14%7.40
Draw23%4.32
Olympiakos Piraeus63%1.58
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542%2.39
Under 2.558%1.72
Both teams to scoreYes44%2.29
No56%1.77
Double chance1X (Kifisia or draw)37%2.73
12 (either side)77%1.30
X2 (draw or Olympiakos Piraeus)86%1.16
Handicap -1Olympiakos Piraeus win by 2+31%3.25
Push (exactly one goal)25%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

All betting sites
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Kifisia and Olympiakos Piraeus recent form

Kifisia 3W 1D 2L
Olympiakos Piraeus 6W 0D 0L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Kifisia at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
0.75
Clean sheets
2 of 4
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Olympiakos Piraeus away

Record (W-D-L)
3-1-0
Win rate
75%
Goals for / match
1.25
Goals against / match
0.25
Clean sheets
3 of 4
  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.

League matches this season before kick-off: Kifisia at home only, Olympiakos Piraeus away only.

Kifisia vs Olympiakos Piraeus head-to-head

Last 2 meetings: Kifisia 0 · draws 1 · Olympiakos Piraeus 1.

KifisiaDrawsOlympiakos Piraeus
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2025-12-20Olympiakos Piraeus1-1KifisiaSuper League 1
2025-11-09Kifisia1-3Olympiakos PiraeusSuper League 1

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Olympiakos Piraeus to win Predicted score 0 – 1 C Bet on Olympiakos Piraeus