Updated

Super League 1 · Matchday 10

Volos NFC vs Kifisia

· Panthessaliko Stadium, Volos· Referee Vassilis Fotias

Alin prediction Kifisia to win

Cblended with market odds

Predicted score 1 – 2

10% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Volos NFCDrawKifisia
  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.25.
  • RiskGrade C: weaker evidence — both clubs are rated on goals scored and conceded, not on the chances they created.
Best market odds
Volos NFC2.91 Draw3.40 Kifisia2.47

Price as of

Expected return at 2.47: +5.3% per unit staked

Volos NFC vs Kifisia preview

In the fixture between Volos NFC and Kifisia, the 1X2 probabilities show Kifisia at 38% and Volos NFC at 34%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, which occurs in 10% of simulations. Kifisia's recent form includes 4 wins in their last 6 matches, while Volos NFC has lost 5 of their last 6, indicating a significant advantage for Kifisia.

The expected goals are 1.22 for Volos NFC and 1.80 for Kifisia, suggesting Kifisia may dominate offensively. With 58% for Over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score, there is potential for a high-scoring match. However, if Volos NFC improves their form, they could challenge Kifisia's momentum.

Volos NFC vs Kifisia: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceVolos NFCDrawKifisia
Model23%24%53%
Market32%28%39%
Published30%27%43%
Edge-2%-1%+3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.95 vs 1.25.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Kifisia below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.47, recorded — the top price across the 9 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +5.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).

Volos NFC vs Kifisia odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Kifisia, 28 snapshots since 2026-10-24.

Opened 2.85Now 2.38 -0.47
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Volos NFC2.502.90+0.40
Draw3.103.30+0.20
Kifisia2.852.38-0.47

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Volos NFC and Kifisia expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.25Volos NFC
1.95Kifisia
Total expected goals
3.20
Attack rating (Volos NFC / Kifisia)
0.77 / 1.22
Defence rating (Volos NFC / Kifisia)
1.44 / 1.09

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Volos NFC vs Kifisia score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 5.1% 6.9% 7.7% 5.0% 3.8% 1 4.1% 10.9% 9.7% 6.3% 4.8% 2 3.2% 6.2% 6.1% 3.9% 3.0% 3 1.3% 2.6% 2.5% 1.6% 1.3% 4+ 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.7% 0.5%

Rows: Volos NFC goals. Columns: Kifisia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Volos NFC vs Kifisia goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 95%
Over 1.5 84%
Over 2.5 62%
Over 3.5 40%
Both teams to score
62%
No goals (0–0)
5%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Volos NFC vs Kifisia

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Volos NFC30%3.32
Draw27%3.67
Kifisia43%2.35
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562%1.61
Under 2.538%2.63
Both teams to scoreYes62%1.61
No38%2.65
Double chance1X (Volos NFC or draw)57%1.74
12 (either side)73%1.37
X2 (draw or Kifisia)70%1.43
Handicap -1Kifisia win by 2+31%3.22
Push (exactly one goal)21%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Where to bet on this match in Kenya

Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit

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Volos NFC and Kifisia recent form

Volos NFC 0W 1D 5L
Kifisia 4W 0D 2L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Volos NFC at home

Record (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Kifisia away

Record (W-D-L)
2-0-2
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Volos NFC at home only, Kifisia away only.

Volos NFC vs Kifisia head-to-head

Last 6 meetings: Volos NFC 2 · draws 1 · Kifisia 3.

Volos NFCDrawsKifisia
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-03-15Kifisia2-0Volos NFCSuper League 1
2026-01-06Volos NFC0-1KifisiaGreece Cup
2025-12-06Volos NFC1-1KifisiaSuper League 1
2024-03-30Volos NFC4-1KifisiaSuper League 1
2024-02-11Kifisia3-0Volos NFCSuper League 1
2023-10-28Volos NFC2-1KifisiaSuper League 1

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Before and after this match

Prediction snapshot Kifisia to win Predicted score 1 – 2 C Bet on Kifisia