Panetolikos vs OFI preview
In the Super League 1 fixture between Panetolikos and OFI, the 1X2 probabilities show OFI at 41%, while Panetolikos sits at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, with a 10% chance according to our model. Both teams to score is at 60%, and Over 2.5 goals stands at 58%.
Panetolikos has struggled recently, with 5 losses and only 1 win in their last 6 matches. OFI's form is slightly better, with 1 win and 1 draw in their last 6. The expected goals are 1.22 for Panetolikos and 1.82 for OFI, indicating a potential advantage for the visitors. However, recent head-to-head results show both teams have 1 win each.
Panetolikos vs OFI: model vs market
| Source | Panetolikos | Draw | OFI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23% | 25% | 52% |
| Market | 31% | 31% | 38% |
| Published | 29% | 30% | 41% |
| Edge | -2% | -2% | +3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.84 vs 1.19.
- The market prices OFI below our published probability: +3.5 percentage points of edge.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.68, recorded — the top price across the 7 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: +10.3% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Panetolikos vs OFI odds movement
Median bookmaker price on OFI, 6 snapshots since 2026-10-24.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panetolikos | 2.86 | 3.05 | +0.19 |
| Draw | 3.18 | 3.00 | -0.18 |
| OFI | 2.45 | 2.50 | +0.05 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panetolikos and OFI expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.03
- Attack rating (Panetolikos / OFI)
- 0.75 / 1.12
- Defence rating (Panetolikos / OFI)
- 1.46 / 1.07
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panetolikos vs OFI score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panetolikos goals. Columns: OFI goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panetolikos vs OFI goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 60%
- No goals (0–0)
- 6%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panetolikos vs OFI
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panetolikos | 29% | 3.44 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.36 | |
| OFI | 41% | 2.43 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58% | 1.72 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 2.40 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60% | 1.68 |
| No | 40% | 2.47 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panetolikos or draw) | 59% | 1.70 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.42 | |
| X2 (draw or OFI) | 71% | 1.41 | |
| Handicap -1 | OFI win by 2+ | 30% | 3.36 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panetolikos and OFI recent form
Panetolikos
1W 0D 5L
OFI
1W 1D 4L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panetolikos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-2
- Win rate
- 50%
- Goals for / match
- 1.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
OFI away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-0-3
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.25
- Goals against / match
- 2.25
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panetolikos at home only, OFI away only.
Panetolikos vs OFI head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Panetolikos 1 · draws 0 · OFI 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | OFI | 1-0 | Panetolikos | Super League 1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Panetolikos | 4-2 | OFI | Super League 1 |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kifisia v Olympiakos Piraeus — match page 2026-10-31
- Levadiakos vs Aris Thessalonikis — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Panathinaikos vs AEK Athens FC — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- PAOK vs Asteras Tripolis 2026-11-01
- Atromitos vs Volos NFC — team news & stats 2026-11-02
Before and after this match
- Panetolikos, previous: AEK Athens FC – Panetolikos, 2026-10-24
- OFI, previous: Larisa vs OFI prediction
- OFI, next: Hapoel Beer Sheva vs OFI prediction