Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos preview
In the Super League 1 fixture between Volos NFC and Panathinaikos, the 1X2 probabilities show Panathinaikos at 66%, while Volos NFC sits at 12%. The most likely scoreline from our model predicts a 0-2 result, with Panathinaikos expected to score 2.12 goals compared to Volos NFC's 0.90.
However, the match could deviate from this prediction if Volos NFC improves their performance, as they have struggled recently with 4 losses in their last 5 matches. Additionally, both teams to score is at 53%, indicating a chance for Volos NFC to find the net, which could impact the outcome.
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos: model vs market
| Source | Volos NFC | Draw | Panathinaikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 9% | 15% | 76% |
| Market | 11% | 19% | 70% |
| Published | 11% | 18% | 71% |
| Edge | -1% | -1% | +2% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 0.92.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.38, recorded — the top price across the 10 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -1.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panathinaikos, 26 snapshots since 2026-10-11.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Volos NFC | 6.38 | 8.45 | +2.07 |
| Draw | 4.28 | 4.85 | +0.57 |
| Panathinaikos | 1.49 | 1.34 | -0.15 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Volos NFC and Panathinaikos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 3.74
- Attack rating (Volos NFC / Panathinaikos)
- 0.95 / 1.73
- Defence rating (Volos NFC / Panathinaikos)
- 1.44 / 0.67
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Volos NFC goals. Columns: Panathinaikos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- No goals (0–0)
- 3%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Volos NFC | 11% | 9.50 |
| Draw | 18% | 5.48 | |
| Panathinaikos | 71% | 1.40 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.39 |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 3.58 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57% | 1.74 |
| No | 43% | 2.34 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Volos NFC or draw) | 29% | 3.48 |
| 12 (either side) | 82% | 1.22 | |
| X2 (draw or Panathinaikos) | 89% | 1.12 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panathinaikos win by 2+ | 56% | 1.78 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Volos NFC and Panathinaikos recent form
Volos NFC
0W 2D 4L
Panathinaikos
5W 0D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Volos NFC at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 1.33
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 3
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Panathinaikos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-0-1
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.00
- Goals against / match
- 0.33
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Volos NFC at home only, Panathinaikos away only.
Volos NFC vs Panathinaikos head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Volos NFC 1 · draws 0 · Panathinaikos 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-14 | Panathinaikos | 2-1 | Volos NFC | Super League 1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Volos NFC | 1-0 | Panathinaikos | Super League 1 |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Iraklis 1908 v Kifisia — match page 2026-10-24
- Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos 2026-10-24
- AEK Athens FC vs Panetolikos — team news & stats 2026-10-24
- Olympiakos Piraeus v Kalamata — match page 2026-10-25
- Aris Thessalonikis v Atromitos — match page 2026-10-25
- OFI vs PAOK — team news & stats 2026-10-25
Before and after this match
- Volos NFC, previous: Levadiakos vs Volos NFC prediction
- Volos NFC, next: Volos NFC vs Atromitos: odds and pick
- Panathinaikos, previous: Kairat Almaty – Panathinaikos, 2026-10-22
- Panathinaikos, next: Panathinaikos v Aris Thessalonikis analysis