Updated

Super League 1 · Matchday 8

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos

· Theodoros Kolokotronis Stadium, Tripolis· Referee Alexandros Megas

Full time0 – 0

Alin prediction was Asteras Tripolis to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Asteras TripolisDrawLevadiakos

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceAsteras TripolisDrawLevadiakos
Model51%28%20%
Market47%30%24%
Published48%29%23%
Edge+1%0%-1%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.88.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Asteras Tripolis, 27 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 2.49Now 2.00 -0.49
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Asteras Tripolis2.492.00-0.49
Draw3.203.17-0.04
Levadiakos2.853.95+1.10

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.52Asteras Tripolis
0.88Levadiakos
Total expected goals
2.40
Attack rating (Asteras Tripolis / Levadiakos)
1.01 / 0.63
Defence rating (Asteras Tripolis / Levadiakos)
1.23 / 1.03

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 10.3% 6.7% 3.5% 1.0% 0.3% 1 12.6% 13.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.4% 2 10.5% 9.2% 4.0% 1.2% 0.3% 3 5.3% 4.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.2% 4+ 2.9% 2.5% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%

Rows: Asteras Tripolis goals. Columns: Levadiakos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 90%
Over 1.5 70%
Over 2.5 43%
Over 3.5 22%
Both teams to score
47%
No goals (0–0)
10%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Asteras Tripolis48%2.09
Draw29%3.42
Levadiakos23%4.37
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.543%2.32
Under 2.557%1.76
Both teams to scoreYes47%2.13
No53%1.88
Double chance1X (Asteras Tripolis or draw)77%1.30
12 (either side)71%1.41
X2 (draw or Levadiakos)52%1.92
Handicap -1Asteras Tripolis win by 2+27%3.69
Push (exactly one goal)24%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Asteras Tripolis and Levadiakos recent form

Asteras Tripolis 2W 3D 1L
Levadiakos 0W 2D 4L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Asteras Tripolis at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-2
Win rate
25%
Goals for / match
0.75
Goals against / match
1.25
Clean sheets
0 of 4
  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.

Levadiakos away

Record (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Win rate
0%
Goals for / match
0.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
1 of 3
  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.0 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 7 of 7 matches.
  • 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

League matches this season before kick-off: Asteras Tripolis at home only, Levadiakos away only.

Expected lineups

Asteras Tripolis lineup · 3-4-3

  1. 1 N. Papadopoulos
  2. 6 K. Chrisopoulos
  3. 16 F. Brorsson
  4. 74 D. Laskaris
  5. 28 Alex Méndez
  6. 10 Eder González
  7. 21 D. Kourbelis
  8. 27 G. Kotsiras
  9. 44 A. Papakanellos
  10. 9 F. Macheda
  11. 7 J. Bartolo

Bench: I. Bouzoukis, J. Chicco, A. Tereziou, F. Orozco, N. Kaltsas, Chrysanthos Gezos, J. Silva, Ricardinho, V. Chatziemmanouil, P. Deligiannidis, B. Mbunga Kimpioka, T. Kakadiaris

Levadiakos lineup · 4-2-3-1

  1. 55 N. Eliasi
  2. 3 M. Vichos
  3. 37 I. Tsivelekidis
  4. 24 P. Liagas
  5. 23 G. Kornezos
  6. 18 I. Kosti
  7. 66 M. Ndiaye
  8. 30 Octavian Popescu
  9. 14 G. Manthatis
  10. 11 A. Urzi
  11. 9 O. Ožegović

Bench: A. Pantea, Juan Francisco Bauza, G. Nikas, A. Șut, D. Emmanouilidis, K. Goumas, M. Balde, M. Filon, G. Rodríguez, Lucas Anacker, G. Vrakas

Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos head-to-head

Last 10 meetings: Asteras Tripolis 1 · draws 4 · Levadiakos 5.

Asteras TripolisDrawsLevadiakos
Previous meetings
DateHomeScoreAwayCompetition
2026-08-18Levadiakos2-0Asteras TripolisGreece Cup
2026-02-01Levadiakos3-1Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
2025-12-07Asteras Tripolis1-1LevadiakosSuper League 1
2025-10-29Levadiakos1-0Asteras TripolisGreece Cup
2025-01-19Levadiakos1-2Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
2024-09-28Asteras Tripolis1-1LevadiakosSuper League 1
2023-04-08Asteras Tripolis0-1LevadiakosSuper League 1
2023-01-15Asteras Tripolis0-0LevadiakosSuper League 1
2022-09-18Levadiakos1-1Asteras TripolisSuper League 1
2021-10-26Levadiakos1-0Asteras TripolisCup

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match