Updated

Super League 1 · Matchday 8

Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia

· Kaftanzoglio Stadio, Thessaloniki· Referee Alexandros Tsakalidis

Full time2 – 3

Alin prediction was Iraklis 1908 to win

Cblended with market oddsMissed

Predicted score 1 – 0

13% — likeliest score with our pick

Win probability
Iraklis 1908DrawKifisia

Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia: model vs market

1X2 probabilities: our model, the de-vigged market and the published blend
SourceIraklis 1908DrawKifisia
Model45%31%25%
Market35%30%35%
Published37%30%33%
Edge+2%0%-3%
  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.33 vs 0.93.
  • The market prices Iraklis 1908 below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.

Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page.

Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia odds movement

Median bookmaker price on Iraklis 1908, 26 snapshots since 2026-10-11.

Opened 2.62Now 2.65 +0.02
Median 1X2 prices, first and latest snapshot
SelectionFirstLatestMove
Iraklis 19082.622.65+0.02
Draw3.173.15-0.02
Kifisia2.732.63-0.10

A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.

Iraklis 1908 and Kifisia expected goals

The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.

1.33Iraklis 1908
0.93Kifisia
Total expected goals
2.26
Attack rating (Iraklis 1908 / Kifisia)
0.88 / 1.02
Defence rating (Iraklis 1908 / Kifisia)
0.81 / 1.03

Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.

Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia score probability

Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.

01234+ 0 11.7% 8.4% 4.5% 1.4% 0.4% 1 12.6% 14.2% 6.0% 1.9% 0.5% 2 9.2% 8.6% 4.0% 1.2% 0.4% 3 4.1% 3.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.2% 4+ 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%

Rows: Iraklis 1908 goals. Columns: Kifisia goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.

Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia goals probability

Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.

Over 0.5 88%
Over 1.5 67%
Over 2.5 39%
Over 3.5 19%
Both teams to score
46%
No goals (0–0)
12%

Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.

All markets for Iraklis 1908 vs Kifisia

Published probability and fair odds per market
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
1X2Iraklis 190837%2.67
Draw30%3.36
Kifisia33%3.05
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539%2.54
Under 2.561%1.65
Both teams to scoreYes46%2.18
No54%1.85
Double chance1X (Iraklis 1908 or draw)67%1.49
12 (either side)70%1.42
X2 (draw or Kifisia)63%1.60
Handicap -1Iraklis 1908 win by 2+21%4.65
Push (exactly one goal)23%—

Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.

Iraklis 1908 and Kifisia recent form

Iraklis 1908 2W 3D 1L
Kifisia 2W 1D 3L

Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.

Home vs away this season

Iraklis 1908 at home

Record (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Win rate
50%
Goals for / match
1.50
Goals against / match
0.50
Clean sheets
1 of 2
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Kifisia away

Record (W-D-L)
1-0-2
Win rate
33%
Goals for / match
1.00
Goals against / match
2.00
Clean sheets
0 of 3
  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

League matches this season before kick-off: Iraklis 1908 at home only, Kifisia away only.

Expected lineups

Iraklis 1908 lineup · 3-4-2-1

  1. 33 G. Athanasiadis
  2. 4 S. Chakla
  3. 21 Piña
  4. 2 P. Vouros
  5. 31 Nanu
  6. 8 N. Radoja
  7. 90 V. Sourlis
  8. 30 Carles Soria
  9. 11 Ivi López
  10. 18 R. Nizet
  11. 43 Pedro Marques

Bench: E. Koljić, K. Kushta, Xande Silva, J. Hromada, P. Tsintotas, Nikolaos Anastasiadis, K. Kaïboué, Daniel Muñoz Navas, M. Krainz, R. Lauritsen, A. Žulevič

Kifisia lineup · 4-4-2

  1. 99 M. Ramírez
  2. 23 L. Abanda
  3. 24 R. van Eijma
  4. 34 C. Jolibois
  5. 48 Tiago Manso
  6. 7 J. Antonisse
  7. 17 K. Roukounakis
  8. 19 I. Jagne
  9. 28 Á. Sagal
  10. 6 Jorge Pombo
  11. 72 A. Christópoulos

Bench: F. Roberts, K. Apostolakis, A. Petkov, Bernardo Martins, Dimitris Theodoridis, Gerson Sousa, Jordi Mboula, A. Anagnostopoulos, G. Kyriopoulos, K. Polykratis, Hugo Sousa

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Before and after this match