Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko preview
Anagennisi Karditsas faces Marko with probabilities of 23% for a home win and 46% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, which occurs 16% of the time according to our model. Anagennisi Karditsas has an expected goals figure of 0.75, while Marko sits at 1.23, indicating a stronger attacking performance from the visitors.
The chances for Over 2.5 goals are at 32%, and both teams to score is at 39%. Anagennisi Karditsas has shown mixed form recently with 2 wins in their last 6 matches, while Marko has performed better with 4 wins in the same period. This disparity in form could influence the outcome, making the prediction less certain.
Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko: model vs market
| Source | Anagennisi Karditsas | Draw | Marko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21% | 32% | 46% |
| Market | 16% | 25% | 59% |
| Published | 17% | 27% | 56% |
| Edge | +1% | +2% | -3% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.23 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.60, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -10.7% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Marko, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Anagennisi Karditsas | 3.87 | 5.72 | +1.85 |
| Draw | 3.10 | 3.57 | +0.47 |
| Marko | 2.04 | 1.53 | -0.51 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Anagennisi Karditsas and Marko expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.98
- Attack rating (Anagennisi Karditsas / Marko)
- 0.77 / 1.29
- Defence rating (Anagennisi Karditsas / Marko)
- 1.00 / 0.73
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Anagennisi Karditsas goals. Columns: Marko goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 39%
- No goals (0–0)
- 15%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Anagennisi Karditsas | 17% | 5.83 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.70 | |
| Marko | 56% | 1.79 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32% | 3.15 |
| Under 2.5 | 68% | 1.47 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39% | 2.59 |
| No | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Anagennisi Karditsas or draw) | 44% | 2.26 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Marko) | 83% | 1.21 | |
| Handicap -1 | Marko win by 2+ | 22% | 4.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Anagennisi Karditsas and Marko recent form
Anagennisi Karditsas
3W 0D 3L
Marko
4W 1D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Anagennisi Karditsas at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-1-0
- Win rate
- 67%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.00
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 3
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Marko away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 3-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 3.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 7 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- They have converted 4 of 4 penalties (100%).
League matches this season before kick-off: Anagennisi Karditsas at home only, Marko away only.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Panserraikos v Apollon Pontou — match page 2026-11-07
- Panthrakikos v Larisa — match page 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-11-08
- Kallithea vs Panionios 2026-11-08
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II 2026-11-08
- Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Zakynthos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Anagennisi Karditsas, previous: Niki Volos vs Anagennisi Karditsas prediction
- Marko, previous: Marko v Apollon Pontou analysis