Panserraikos vs Apollon Pontou preview
In the Super League 2 fixture, Panserraikos has a 64% chance to win against Apollon Pontou, who sits at 14%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 11% probability. Panserraikos has shown mixed recent form with L-L-W-D-W-D, while Apollon Pontou has L-L-L-W-D-W.
The expected goals are 1.37 for Panserraikos and 1.02 for Apollon Pontou, indicating a tighter match than the probabilities suggest. While there is a 43% chance of Over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score, unexpected performances could alter these outcomes.
Panserraikos vs Apollon Pontou: model vs market
| Source | Panserraikos | Draw | Apollon Pontou |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44% | 30% | 27% |
| Market | 71% | 19% | 10% |
| Published | 64% | 22% | 14% |
| Edge | -7% | +3% | +4% |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.37 vs 1.02.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 1.31, recorded — the top price across the 8 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -16.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Panserraikos vs Apollon Pontou odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panserraikos, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panserraikos | 6.52 | 1.29 | -5.23 |
| Draw | 3.79 | 4.81 | +1.02 |
| Apollon Pontou | 1.66 | 8.88 | +7.21 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panserraikos and Apollon Pontou expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Panserraikos / Apollon Pontou)
- 0.96 / 0.66
- Defence rating (Panserraikos / Apollon Pontou)
- 1.61 / 1.08
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panserraikos vs Apollon Pontou score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panserraikos goals. Columns: Apollon Pontou goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panserraikos vs Apollon Pontou goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 49%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panserraikos vs Apollon Pontou
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panserraikos | 64% | 1.56 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.62 | |
| Apollon Pontou | 14% | 6.95 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.34 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49% | 2.04 |
| No | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panserraikos or draw) | 86% | 1.17 |
| 12 (either side) | 78% | 1.28 | |
| X2 (draw or Apollon Pontou) | 36% | 2.77 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panserraikos win by 2+ | 21% | 4.72 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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| 2 |  |
First deposit bonus18+. New customers only. T&Cs apply. |
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| 3 |  |
100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panserraikos and Apollon Pontou recent form
Panserraikos
2W 2D 2L
Apollon Pontou
2W 1D 3L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panserraikos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-0
- Win rate
- 100%
- Goals for / match
- 2.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
Apollon Pontou away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-4
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.67
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 6
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panserraikos at home only, Apollon Pontou away only.
Panserraikos vs Apollon Pontou head-to-head
Last 8 meetings: Panserraikos 6 · draws 0 · Apollon Pontou 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-05-06 | Panserraikos | 3-0 | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 |
| 2023-01-12 | Apollon Pontou | 0-1 | Panserraikos | Cup |
| 2023-01-03 | Apollon Pontou | 0-2 | Panserraikos | Super League 2 |
| 2022-12-16 | Panserraikos | 3-0 | Apollon Pontou | Cup |
| 2022-03-30 | Apollon Pontou | 1-0 | Panserraikos | Super League 2 |
| 2021-12-29 | Panserraikos | 2-4 | Apollon Pontou | Super League 2 |
| 2021-06-20 | Panserraikos | 2-0 | Apollon Pontou | Football League |
| 2021-04-28 | Apollon Pontou | 0-3 | Panserraikos | Football League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Panthrakikos v Larisa — match page 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-11-08
- Kallithea vs Panionios 2026-11-08
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II 2026-11-08
- Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Zakynthos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Panserraikos, previous: Panionios v Panserraikos analysis
- Apollon Pontou, previous: Marko v Apollon Pontou analysis