Panionios vs Panserraikos preview
In the Super League 2 fixture between Panionios and Panserraikos, the 1X2 probabilities show Panionios at 51%, a draw at 27%, and Panserraikos at 22%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 11%. Panionios has an expected goals figure of 1.63, while Panserraikos stands at 1.01.
Both teams to score sits at 52%, indicating a decent chance for goals from both sides. However, the confidence grade is C, suggesting uncertainty in the outcome. If Panserraikos can improve their attacking efficiency, they could challenge the predicted scoreline. Additionally, if Panionios fails to convert their chances, it may affect the overall goal count.
Panionios vs Panserraikos: model vs market
| Source | Panionios | Draw | Panserraikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Published | 51% | 27% | 22% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.62 vs 1.01.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the model alone (no market price recorded yet).
Panionios and Panserraikos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.63
- Attack rating (Panionios / Panserraikos)
- 0.89 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Panionios / Panserraikos)
- 0.91 / 1.39
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panionios vs Panserraikos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panionios goals. Columns: Panserraikos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panionios vs Panserraikos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 52%
- No goals (0–0)
- 8%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panionios vs Panserraikos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panionios | 51% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.68 | |
| Panserraikos | 22% | 4.48 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49% | 2.05 |
| Under 2.5 | 51% | 1.96 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52% | 1.92 |
| No | 48% | 2.09 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panionios or draw) | 78% | 1.29 |
| 12 (either side) | 73% | 1.37 | |
| X2 (draw or Panserraikos) | 49% | 2.02 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win by 2+ | 27% | 3.64 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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Panionios and Panserraikos recent form
Panionios
2W 2D 2L
Panserraikos
3W 2D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panionios at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-0-1
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.40
- Goals against / match
- 0.80
- Clean sheets
- 4 of 5
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
Panserraikos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panionios at home only, Panserraikos away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II 2026-11-01
- Niki Volos v Anagennisi Karditsas — match page 2026-11-01
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Marko vs Apollon Pontou 2026-11-01
- PAOK II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-11-01
- Ellas Syros vs Kallithea — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Panionios, previous: Panionios v Marko analysis
- Panserraikos, previous: Panserraikos v Niki Volos analysis