Kallithea vs Panionios preview
In the Super League 2 fixture between Kallithea and Panionios, the 1X2 probabilities show Kallithea at 35%, a draw at 33%, and Panionios at 32%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 15% chance according to our model. Kallithea has an expected goals figure of 1.01, while Panionios stands at 0.82, suggesting a narrow match.
Kallithea's recent form includes 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5 matches, while Panionios has 3 wins and 2 losses in the same period. However, Panionios has won both of the last two head-to-head encounters. The model indicates a 28% chance for Over 2.5 goals and a 37% chance for both teams to score, meaning the outcome could vary if either team improves their attacking efficiency.
Kallithea vs Panionios: model vs market
| Source | Kallithea | Draw | Panionios |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 35% | 27% |
| Market | 27% | 32% | 41% |
| Published | 29% | 33% | 38% |
| Edge | +3% | +1% | -4% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -13.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Kallithea vs Panionios odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Panionios, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kallithea | 2.65 | 3.41 | +0.76 |
| Draw | 2.85 | 2.83 | -0.02 |
| Panionios | 2.70 | 2.20 | -0.50 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Kallithea and Panionios expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 1.83
- Attack rating (Kallithea / Panionios)
- 0.91 / 1.21
- Defence rating (Kallithea / Panionios)
- 0.71 / 0.84
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Kallithea vs Panionios score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Kallithea goals. Columns: Panionios goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Kallithea vs Panionios goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 37%
- No goals (0–0)
- 17%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Kallithea vs Panionios
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kallithea | 29% | 3.40 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Panionios | 38% | 2.65 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 28% | 3.61 |
| Under 2.5 | 72% | 1.38 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37% | 2.71 |
| No | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Kallithea or draw) | 62% | 1.61 |
| 12 (either side) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| X2 (draw or Panionios) | 71% | 1.42 | |
| Handicap -1 | Panionios win by 2+ | 9% | 10.87 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Kallithea and Panionios recent form
Kallithea
3W 2D 1L
Panionios
3W 1D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Kallithea at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 4-1-0
- Win rate
- 80%
- Goals for / match
- 1.60
- Goals against / match
- 0.60
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Panionios away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-1
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.33
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 3
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Kallithea at home only, Panionios away only.
Kallithea vs Panionios head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Kallithea 0 · draws 0 · Panionios 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Kallithea | 0-1 | Panionios | Super League 2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Panionios | 1-0 | Kallithea | Super League 2 |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Panserraikos v Apollon Pontou — match page 2026-11-07
- Panthrakikos v Larisa — match page 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-11-08
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II 2026-11-08
- Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Zakynthos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Kallithea, previous: Ellas Syros vs Kallithea prediction
- Panionios, previous: Panionios v Panserraikos analysis