Panthrakikos vs Larisa preview
In the upcoming match between Panthrakikos and Larisa, the 1X2 probabilities show Larisa at 38%, slightly ahead of Panthrakikos at 33%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, which occurs with a 9% chance. Panthrakikos has an expected goals figure of 1.26, while Larisa's is 1.14, indicating a close contest.
Both teams to score has a probability of 50%, while Over 2.5 goals stands at 43%. Panthrakikos has had mixed recent form with 1 win in their last 6 matches, while Larisa has been more consistent, winning 2 of their last 6. This could impact the match's outcome, as form can shift quickly in football.
Panthrakikos vs Larisa: model vs market
| Source | Panthrakikos | Draw | Larisa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38% | 30% | 32% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 40% |
| Published | 33% | 29% | 38% |
| Edge | +2% | 0% | -2% |
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the 3 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.2% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Panthrakikos vs Larisa odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Larisa, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Panthrakikos | 2.87 | 2.87 | +0.00 |
| Draw | 3.18 | 3.18 | +0.00 |
| Larisa | 2.24 | 2.24 | +0.00 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Panthrakikos and Larisa expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.39
- Attack rating (Panthrakikos / Larisa)
- 1.19 / 1.15
- Defence rating (Panthrakikos / Larisa)
- 1.03 / 0.80
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Panthrakikos vs Larisa score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Panthrakikos goals. Columns: Larisa goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Panthrakikos vs Larisa goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 50%
- No goals (0–0)
- 10%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Panthrakikos vs Larisa
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Panthrakikos | 33% | 3.03 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.47 | |
| Larisa | 38% | 2.62 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43% | 2.33 |
| Under 2.5 | 57% | 1.75 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50% | 2.00 |
| No | 50% | 2.00 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Panthrakikos or draw) | 62% | 1.62 |
| 12 (either side) | 71% | 1.40 | |
| X2 (draw or Larisa) | 67% | 1.49 | |
| Handicap -1 | Larisa win by 2+ | 13% | 7.45 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Panthrakikos and Larisa recent form
Panthrakikos
1W 3D 2L
Larisa
2W 3D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Panthrakikos at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 2-4-0
- Win rate
- 33%
- Goals for / match
- 1.33
- Goals against / match
- 0.83
- Clean sheets
- 3 of 6
- They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Larisa away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 1.75
- Goals against / match
- 1.00
- Clean sheets
- 1 of 4
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Panthrakikos at home only, Larisa away only.
Panthrakikos vs Larisa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Panthrakikos 1 · draws 0 · Larisa 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012-05-09 | Larisa | 3-2 | Panthrakikos | Football League |
| 2012-01-25 | Panthrakikos | 1-0 | Larisa | Football League |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Panserraikos v Apollon Pontou — match page 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-11-08
- Kallithea vs Panionios 2026-11-08
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II 2026-11-08
- Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Zakynthos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Panthrakikos, previous: Nestos Chrisoupolis – Panthrakikos, 2026-10-31
- Larisa, previous: Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II: odds and pick