Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II preview
In the upcoming match between Nestos Chrisoupolis and Asteras Tripolis II, the 1X2 probabilities show Nestos Chrisoupolis at 36%, Asteras Tripolis II at 33%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% chance. Both teams to score has a 45% probability, while Over 2.5 goals is at 37%.
Nestos Chrisoupolis has struggled recently with a form of L-L-W-D-L-L, while Asteras Tripolis II has recorded four draws in their last five matches. This could influence the match outcome, as Asteras Tripolis II has won both of their last two encounters against Nestos Chrisoupolis. The expected goals for both teams are equal at 1.09, indicating a potentially close contest.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II: model vs market
| Source | Nestos Chrisoupolis | Draw | Asteras Tripolis II |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34% | 32% | 34% |
| Market | 37% | 30% | 32% |
| Published | 37% | 31% | 33% |
| Edge | -1% | 0% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.55, recorded — the top price across the 6 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -6.9% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II odds movement
Median bookmaker price on Nestos Chrisoupolis, 10 snapshots since 2026-11-02.
| Selection | First | Latest | Move |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestos Chrisoupolis | 2.41 | 2.43 | +0.02 |
| Draw | 2.97 | 3.00 | +0.03 |
| Asteras Tripolis II | 2.76 | 2.80 | +0.04 |
A shortening price means the market has moved towards that outcome. Median across all recorded bookmakers, not one book's line.
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Asteras Tripolis II expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.17
- Attack rating (Nestos Chrisoupolis / Asteras Tripolis II)
- 0.76 / 0.87
- Defence rating (Nestos Chrisoupolis / Asteras Tripolis II)
- 1.31 / 1.09
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nestos Chrisoupolis goals. Columns: Asteras Tripolis II goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 45%
- No goals (0–0)
- 13%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 37% | 2.74 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.26 | |
| Asteras Tripolis II | 33% | 3.05 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37% | 2.70 |
| Under 2.5 | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45% | 2.21 |
| No | 55% | 1.83 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nestos Chrisoupolis or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 69% | 1.44 | |
| X2 (draw or Asteras Tripolis II) | 63% | 1.58 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nestos Chrisoupolis win by 2+ | 14% | 7.09 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  |
50% free bet up to KES 2,500 on your first deposit18+. New customers only. Min first deposit KES 100. Free bet needs 4+ selections at odds 1.70+ within 7 days. T&Cs apply. |
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100% up to KES 19,000 on your first deposit18+. Min deposit KES 150. Bonus wagered 5x on accumulators (3+ selections, odds 1.40+). T&Cs apply. |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Asteras Tripolis II recent form
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1W 1D 4L
Asteras Tripolis II
1W 4D 1L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nestos Chrisoupolis at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-2
- Win rate
- 20%
- Goals for / match
- 0.80
- Goals against / match
- 1.20
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
Asteras Tripolis II away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-2-3
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.60
- Goals against / match
- 1.60
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 5
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nestos Chrisoupolis at home only, Asteras Tripolis II away only.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Asteras Tripolis II head-to-head
Last 2 meetings: Nestos Chrisoupolis 0 · draws 0 · Asteras Tripolis II 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-23 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 0-1 | Asteras Tripolis II | Super League 2 |
| 2025-09-21 | Asteras Tripolis II | 2-1 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | Super League 2 |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Panserraikos v Apollon Pontou — match page 2026-11-07
- Panthrakikos v Larisa — match page 2026-11-07
- Olympiakos Piraeus II v Ellas Syros — match page 2026-11-08
- Kallithea vs Panionios 2026-11-08
- Anagennisi Karditsas vs Marko — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Pyrgos 1968 vs PAOK II — team news & stats 2026-11-08
- Zakynthos vs Niki Volos — team news & stats 2026-11-09
Before and after this match
- Nestos Chrisoupolis, previous: Nestos Chrisoupolis – Panthrakikos, 2026-10-31
- Asteras Tripolis II, previous: Asteras Tripolis II – Pyrgos 1968, 2026-11-01