Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos preview
In the Super League 2 fixture between Nestos Chrisoupolis and Panthrakikos, the 1X2 probabilities show Nestos Chrisoupolis at 36%, Panthrakikos at 32%, and a draw at 31%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an 11% chance.
Both teams to score stands at 47%, while Over 2.5 goals is at 39%. Nestos Chrisoupolis has an expected goals figure of 1.16, slightly higher than Panthrakikos at 1.08. However, recent form indicates Nestos Chrisoupolis has struggled with three losses in their last six matches, which could impact their performance.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos: model vs market
| Source | Nestos Chrisoupolis | Draw | Panthrakikos |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36% | 32% | 32% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 33% |
| Published | 37% | 30% | 33% |
| Edge | 0% | +1% | 0% |
Edge = our published probability minus the de-vigged market probability. Published = the blend of both that backs every number on this page. Best available price on the pick: 2.45, recorded — the top price across the 1 books we record, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -9.4% per unit staked (published probability × price − 1).
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Panthrakikos expected goals
The goal rate the model gives each side in this fixture, from xG-based attack and defence ratings.
- Total expected goals
- 2.23
- Attack rating (Nestos Chrisoupolis / Panthrakikos)
- 0.84 / 1.03
- Defence rating (Nestos Chrisoupolis / Panthrakikos)
- 1.09 / 1.05
Ratings are relative to the league average (1.00); lower defence rating = fewer goals conceded per match.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos score probability
Every scoreline the model gives this match, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker = likelier.
Rows: Nestos Chrisoupolis goals. Columns: Panthrakikos goals. Outlined cell = most likely scoreline.
Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos goals probability
Chance of the match clearing each total, read off the same score matrix as the heatmap.
- Both teams to score
- 47%
- No goals (0–0)
- 12%
Over 4.5 and higher fall inside the 4+ buckets and cannot be read off a 0–4 grid, so they are not shown.
All markets for Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Panthrakikos
| Market | Selection | Probability | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nestos Chrisoupolis | 37% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.33 | |
| Panthrakikos | 33% | 3.03 | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39% | 2.59 |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.63 | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47% | 2.15 |
| No | 53% | 1.87 | |
| Double chance | 1X (Nestos Chrisoupolis or draw) | 67% | 1.49 |
| 12 (either side) | 70% | 1.43 | |
| X2 (draw or Panthrakikos) | 63% | 1.59 | |
| Handicap -1 | Nestos Chrisoupolis win by 2+ | 16% | 6.43 |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20% | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability — the break-even price implied by the published probability. Correct-score probabilities are on the heatmap above.
Where to bet on this match in Kenya
Welcome offers as each operator publishes them — compare the terms before your first deposit
| # | Betting site | Welcome offer | Why it is here | Visit |
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| 1 |  |
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18+ only. Offers and terms are set by each operator and can change; the operator’s own terms decide. Gamble responsibly.
Nestos Chrisoupolis and Panthrakikos recent form
Nestos Chrisoupolis
1W 1D 4L
Panthrakikos
1W 3D 2L
Last 6 completed matches, all competitions, newest on the right.
Home vs away this season
Nestos Chrisoupolis at home
- Record (W-D-L)
- 1-2-1
- Win rate
- 25%
- Goals for / match
- 0.75
- Goals against / match
- 0.75
- Clean sheets
- 2 of 4
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
Panthrakikos away
- Record (W-D-L)
- 0-0-2
- Win rate
- 0%
- Goals for / match
- 0.50
- Goals against / match
- 1.50
- Clean sheets
- 0 of 2
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
League matches this season before kick-off: Nestos Chrisoupolis at home only, Panthrakikos away only.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Panionios vs Panserraikos — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Larisa vs Olympiakos Piraeus II 2026-11-01
- Niki Volos v Anagennisi Karditsas — match page 2026-11-01
- Marko vs Apollon Pontou 2026-11-01
- PAOK II v Zakynthos — match page 2026-11-01
- Ellas Syros vs Kallithea — team news & stats 2026-11-01
- Asteras Tripolis II vs Pyrgos 1968 2026-11-01
Before and after this match
- Nestos Chrisoupolis, previous: Nestos Chrisoupolis vs Kalamata prediction
- Panthrakikos, previous: Panthrakikos vs Asteras Tripolis II: odds and pick